Arbe Robotics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.00

ARBE
 Stock
  

USD 6.00  0.13  2.12%   

Arbe Robotics' future price is the expected price of Arbe Robotics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Arbe Robotics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Arbe Robotics' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Arbe Robotics. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Arbe Robotics based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Arbe Robotics over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $5.0 is a CALL option contract on Arbe Robotics' common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.85, and an ask price of $1.45. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of October is 95.7524. View All Arbe Robotics options

Closest to current price Arbe Robotics long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Arbe Robotics Backtesting, Arbe Robotics Valuation, Arbe Robotics Correlation, Arbe Robotics Hype Analysis, Arbe Robotics Volatility, Arbe Robotics History as well as Arbe Robotics Performance. Please specify Arbe Robotics time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Arbe Robotics odds to be computed.

Arbe Robotics Target Price Odds to finish over 6.00

The tendency of Arbe Robotics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.00 90 days 6.00 
about 58.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arbe Robotics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.74 (This Arbe Robotics probability density function shows the probability of Arbe Robotics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Arbe Robotics has a beta of 0.66. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arbe Robotics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arbe Robotics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.261, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arbe Robotics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arbe Robotics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arbe Robotics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arbe Robotics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Arbe Robotics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.216.069.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.189.0312.88
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
15.0018.0020.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arbe Robotics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arbe Robotics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arbe Robotics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Arbe Robotics.

Arbe Robotics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arbe Robotics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arbe Robotics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arbe Robotics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arbe Robotics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.26
β
Beta against DOW0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Arbe Robotics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arbe Robotics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arbe Robotics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arbe Robotics has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Arbe Robotics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 809 K.
Arbe Robotics currently holds about 87.66 M in cash with (35.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.39.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Arbes Lynx Surround Imaging Radar Wins AutoSens Brussels Award for Hardware Development of the Year - Marketscreener.com

Arbe Robotics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arbe Robotics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arbe Robotics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arbe Robotics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.66%
Short Percent Of Float1.37%
Float Shares27.8M
Shares Short Prior Month408.07k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day13.44k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month19k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Arbe Robotics Technical Analysis

Arbe Robotics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arbe Robotics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arbe Robotics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arbe Robotics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Arbe Robotics Predictive Forecast Models

Arbe Robotics time-series forecasting models is one of many Arbe Robotics' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Arbe Robotics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Arbe Robotics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arbe Robotics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arbe Robotics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arbe Robotics has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Arbe Robotics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 809 K.
Arbe Robotics currently holds about 87.66 M in cash with (35.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.39.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Arbes Lynx Surround Imaging Radar Wins AutoSens Brussels Award for Hardware Development of the Year - Marketscreener.com
Please continue to Arbe Robotics Backtesting, Arbe Robotics Valuation, Arbe Robotics Correlation, Arbe Robotics Hype Analysis, Arbe Robotics Volatility, Arbe Robotics History as well as Arbe Robotics Performance. Note that the Arbe Robotics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arbe Robotics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Arbe Robotics Stock analysis

When running Arbe Robotics price analysis, check to measure Arbe Robotics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arbe Robotics is operating at the current time. Most of Arbe Robotics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arbe Robotics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arbe Robotics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arbe Robotics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Arbe Robotics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arbe Robotics. If investors know Arbe Robotics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arbe Robotics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Arbe Robotics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arbe Robotics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arbe Robotics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arbe Robotics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arbe Robotics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arbe Robotics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arbe Robotics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Arbe Robotics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arbe Robotics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.