Antero Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.53

AR
 Stock
  

USD 29.53  0.23  0.79%   

Antero Resources' future price is the expected price of Antero Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Antero Resources Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Antero Resources' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Antero Resources Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Antero Resources based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Antero Resources Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-09-30 CALL at $30.0 is a CALL option contract on Antero Resources' common stock with a strick price of 30.0 expiring on 2022-09-30. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-26 at 15:05:40 for $0.9 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $0.95. The implied volatility as of the 27th of September is 113.3674. View All Antero options

Closest to current price Antero long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Antero Resources Backtesting, Antero Resources Valuation, Antero Resources Correlation, Antero Resources Hype Analysis, Antero Resources Volatility, Antero Resources History as well as Antero Resources Performance. Please specify Antero Resources time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Antero Resources odds to be computed.

Antero Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 29.53

The tendency of Antero Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.53 90 days 29.53 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Antero Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Antero Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of Antero Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Antero Resources will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0922, implying that it can generate a 0.0922 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Antero Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Antero Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Antero Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Antero Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Antero Resources in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
25.4129.5633.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.2626.4130.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
33.4437.5941.75
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.5026.7733.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Antero Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Antero Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Antero Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Antero Resources Corp.

Antero Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Antero Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Antero Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Antero Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Antero Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.09
β
Beta against DOW1.25
σ
Overall volatility
4.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.018057

Antero Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Antero Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Antero Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Antero Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Antero Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reports 4.93 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.79, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Antero Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Antero Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Antero Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Antero Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Antero to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Antero Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 82.0% of Antero Resources shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.investors.com: Black Stone Minerals Stock Earns Composite Rating Upgrade - Investors Business Daily

Antero Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Antero Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Antero Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Antero Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.32%
Short Percent Of Float8.80%
Float Shares278.83M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.54M
Shares Short Prior Month23.31M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.28M
Date Short Interest31st of August 2022

Antero Resources Technical Analysis

Antero Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Antero Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Antero Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Antero Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Antero Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Antero Resources time-series forecasting models is one of many Antero Resources' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Antero Resources' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Antero Resources Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Antero Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Antero Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Antero Resources Alerts

Antero Resources Alerts and Suggestions

Antero Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Antero Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reports 4.93 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.79, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Antero Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Antero Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Antero Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Antero Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Antero to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Antero Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 82.0% of Antero Resources shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.investors.com: Black Stone Minerals Stock Earns Composite Rating Upgrade - Investors Business Daily
Please continue to Antero Resources Backtesting, Antero Resources Valuation, Antero Resources Correlation, Antero Resources Hype Analysis, Antero Resources Volatility, Antero Resources History as well as Antero Resources Performance. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Antero Resources Corp price analysis, check to measure Antero Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Antero Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Antero Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Antero Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Antero Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Antero Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Antero Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Antero Resources. If investors know Antero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Antero Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Antero Resources Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Antero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Antero Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Antero Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Antero Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Antero Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Antero Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Antero Resources value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Antero Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.