APPTECH Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.84

APCX
 Stock
  

USD 0.84  0.06  7.69%   

APPTECH CORP's future price is the expected price of APPTECH CORP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of APPTECH CORP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to drop to 370.95 in 2022. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -0.2 in 2022.
  
Please continue to APPTECH CORP Backtesting, APPTECH CORP Valuation, APPTECH CORP Correlation, APPTECH CORP Hype Analysis, APPTECH CORP Volatility, APPTECH CORP History as well as APPTECH CORP Performance. Please specify APPTECH CORP time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like APPTECH CORP odds to be computed.

APPTECH CORP Target Price Odds to finish over 0.84

The tendency of APPTECH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.84 90 days 0.84 
about 25.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of APPTECH CORP to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.25 (This APPTECH CORP probability density function shows the probability of APPTECH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days APPTECH CORP has a beta of -0.0351. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding APPTECH CORP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, APPTECH CORP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. APPTECH CORP is significantly underperforming DOW.
   APPTECH CORP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for APPTECH CORP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APPTECH CORP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of APPTECH CORP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of APPTECH CORP in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.051.0511.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.040.7510.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0182480.9110.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.610.710.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as APPTECH CORP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against APPTECH CORP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, APPTECH CORP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in APPTECH CORP.

APPTECH CORP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. APPTECH CORP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the APPTECH CORP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold APPTECH CORP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of APPTECH CORP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.12
β
Beta against DOW-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

APPTECH CORP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of APPTECH CORP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for APPTECH CORP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
APPTECH CORP is way too risky over 90 days horizon
APPTECH CORP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
APPTECH CORP appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
APPTECH CORP was previously known as Apptech Payments Corp and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol APCXW.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 356.82 K. Net Loss for the year was (18.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 204.38 K.
APPTECH CORP currently holds about 10.29 M in cash with (4.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64.
APPTECH CORP has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: APPTECH PAYMENTS CORP. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Marketscreener.com

APPTECH CORP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of APPTECH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential APPTECH CORP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. APPTECH CORP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.22%
Short Percent Of Float0.29%
Float Shares9.85M
Shares Short Prior Month12.86k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day47.49k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month132.2k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

APPTECH CORP Technical Analysis

APPTECH CORP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. APPTECH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of APPTECH CORP. In general, you should focus on analyzing APPTECH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

APPTECH CORP Predictive Forecast Models

APPTECH CORP time-series forecasting models is one of many APPTECH CORP's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary APPTECH CORP's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about APPTECH CORP

Checking the ongoing alerts about APPTECH CORP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for APPTECH CORP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

APPTECH CORP Alerts

APPTECH CORP Alerts and Suggestions

APPTECH CORP is way too risky over 90 days horizon
APPTECH CORP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
APPTECH CORP appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
APPTECH CORP was previously known as Apptech Payments Corp and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol APCXW.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 356.82 K. Net Loss for the year was (18.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 204.38 K.
APPTECH CORP currently holds about 10.29 M in cash with (4.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64.
APPTECH CORP has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: APPTECH PAYMENTS CORP. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Marketscreener.com
Please continue to APPTECH CORP Backtesting, APPTECH CORP Valuation, APPTECH CORP Correlation, APPTECH CORP Hype Analysis, APPTECH CORP Volatility, APPTECH CORP History as well as APPTECH CORP Performance. Note that the APPTECH CORP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other APPTECH CORP's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for APPTECH Stock analysis

When running APPTECH CORP price analysis, check to measure APPTECH CORP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy APPTECH CORP is operating at the current time. Most of APPTECH CORP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of APPTECH CORP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move APPTECH CORP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of APPTECH CORP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is APPTECH CORP's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of APPTECH CORP. If investors know APPTECH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about APPTECH CORP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
13.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.18
Return On Assets
-0.64
Return On Equity
-2.76
The market value of APPTECH CORP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of APPTECH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of APPTECH CORP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is APPTECH CORP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because APPTECH CORP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect APPTECH CORP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between APPTECH CORP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine APPTECH CORP value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, APPTECH CORP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.