American Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 220.08

AMT
 Stock
  

USD 220.08  1.83  0.84%   

American Tower's future price is the expected price of American Tower instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Tower Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to drop to 21.21 in 2022. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to 50.37 in 2022.
  
American Tower's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on American Tower Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of American Tower based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in American Tower Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $220.0 is a CALL option contract on American Tower's common stock with a strick price of 220.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-25 at 12:22:54 for $6.8 and, as of today, has 20 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $6.5, and an ask price of $6.7. The implied volatility as of the 26th of November is 31.6398. View All American options

Closest to current price American long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to American Tower Backtesting, American Tower Valuation, American Tower Correlation, American Tower Hype Analysis, American Tower Volatility, American Tower History as well as American Tower Performance. Please specify American Tower time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like American Tower odds to be computed.

American Tower Target Price Odds to finish over 220.08

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 220.08 90 days 220.08 
about 50.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Tower to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.64 (This American Tower Corp probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, American Tower will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. American Tower Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
   American Tower Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Tower

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Tower Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Tower's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Tower in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
216.27218.72221.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
198.07260.43262.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
214.28216.73219.18
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
250.00299.42350.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Tower. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Tower's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Tower's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in American Tower Corp.

American Tower Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Tower is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Tower's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Tower Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Tower within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.32
β
Beta against DOW1.20
σ
Overall volatility
24.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

American Tower Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Tower for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Tower Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Tower Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 46.66 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.79, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. American Tower Corp has a current ratio of 0.56, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist American Tower until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Tower's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Tower Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Tower's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of American Tower shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 26th of October 2022 American Tower paid $ 1.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: American Tower Buying The Dip - Seeking Alpha

American Tower Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Tower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Tower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date7th of October 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out0.90%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.69
Short Percent Of Float1.04%
Float Shares463.97M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.08M
Shares Short Prior Month3.44M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.01M
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022

American Tower Technical Analysis

American Tower's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Tower Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Tower Predictive Forecast Models

American Tower time-series forecasting models is one of many American Tower's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary American Tower's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Tower Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Tower for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Tower Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Tower Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 46.66 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.79, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. American Tower Corp has a current ratio of 0.56, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist American Tower until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Tower's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Tower Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Tower's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of American Tower shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 26th of October 2022 American Tower paid $ 1.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: American Tower Buying The Dip - Seeking Alpha
Please continue to American Tower Backtesting, American Tower Valuation, American Tower Correlation, American Tower Hype Analysis, American Tower Volatility, American Tower History as well as American Tower Performance. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running American Tower Corp price analysis, check to measure American Tower's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Tower is operating at the current time. Most of American Tower's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Tower's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Tower's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Tower to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Tower's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Tower. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Tower listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.14
Market Capitalization
102.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.088
Return On Assets
0.0312
Return On Equity
0.26
The market value of American Tower Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Tower's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Tower's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Tower's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Tower's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Tower's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Tower value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Tower's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.