Amn Healthcare Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 105.96

AMN
 Stock
  

USD 105.96  0.54  0.51%   

Amn Healthcare's future price is the expected price of Amn Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amn Healthcare Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Amn Healthcare's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Amn Healthcare Services. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Amn Healthcare based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Amn Healthcare Services over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $105.0 is a CALL option contract on Amn Healthcare's common stock with a strick price of 105.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-30 at 15:57:51 for $5.3 and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.9, and an ask price of $5.6. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of October is 47.8774. View All Amn Healthcare options

Closest to current price Amn Healthcare long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Amn Healthcare Backtesting, Amn Healthcare Valuation, Amn Healthcare Correlation, Amn Healthcare Hype Analysis, Amn Healthcare Volatility, Amn Healthcare History as well as Amn Healthcare Performance. Please specify Amn Healthcare time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Amn Healthcare odds to be computed.

Amn Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over 105.96

The tendency of Amn Healthcare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 105.96 90 days 105.96 
about 73.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amn Healthcare to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.4 (This Amn Healthcare Services probability density function shows the probability of Amn Healthcare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Amn Healthcare has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amn Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amn Healthcare Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.031, implying that it can generate a 0.031 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amn Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amn Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amn Healthcare Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amn Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Amn Healthcare in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
103.06105.93108.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
100.98103.85106.72
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
81.00127.17145.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amn Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amn Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amn Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Amn Healthcare Services.

Amn Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amn Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amn Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amn Healthcare Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amn Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.031042
β
Beta against DOW0.72
σ
Overall volatility
5.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.021991

Amn Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amn Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amn Healthcare Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amn Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Haemonetics Hospital Arm Aids, Macro Issues Persist - Nasdaq

Amn Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amn Healthcare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amn Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amn Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out9.66%
Short Percent Of Float13.66%
Float Shares44.41M
Shares Short Prior Month3.73M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day444.32k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month654.6k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Amn Healthcare Technical Analysis

Amn Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amn Healthcare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amn Healthcare Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amn Healthcare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amn Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

Amn Healthcare time-series forecasting models is one of many Amn Healthcare's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Amn Healthcare's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amn Healthcare Services

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amn Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amn Healthcare Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amn Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Haemonetics Hospital Arm Aids, Macro Issues Persist - Nasdaq
Please continue to Amn Healthcare Backtesting, Amn Healthcare Valuation, Amn Healthcare Correlation, Amn Healthcare Hype Analysis, Amn Healthcare Volatility, Amn Healthcare History as well as Amn Healthcare Performance. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Amn Healthcare Services price analysis, check to measure Amn Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amn Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Amn Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amn Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amn Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amn Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Amn Healthcare's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amn Healthcare. If investors know Amn Healthcare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amn Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Amn Healthcare Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amn Healthcare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amn Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amn Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amn Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amn Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amn Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Amn Healthcare value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amn Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.