AMP Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.95

AMLYY
 Stock
  

USD 2.95  0.00  0.00%   

AMP's future price is the expected price of AMP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AMP LIMITED performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Trending Equities.Please specify AMP time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like AMP odds to be computed.

AMP Target Price Odds to finish over 2.95

The tendency of AMP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.95 90 days 2.95 
about 76.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMP to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 76.45 (This AMP LIMITED probability density function shows the probability of AMP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AMP has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AMP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AMP LIMITED will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. AMP LIMITED is significantly underperforming DOW.
   AMP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AMP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMP LIMITED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AMP in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.952.952.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.582.583.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.922.922.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.952.952.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AMP LIMITED.

AMP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMP LIMITED, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.11
β
Beta against DOW0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

AMP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMP LIMITED can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMP LIMITED is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!

AMP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.18
Float Shares807.66M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month81
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.14%

AMP Technical Analysis

AMP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMP LIMITED. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AMP Predictive Forecast Models

AMP time-series forecasting models is one of many AMP's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary AMP's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AMP LIMITED

Checking the ongoing alerts about AMP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMP LIMITED help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMP LIMITED is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!
Please continue to Trending Equities. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Other Tools for AMP Stock

When running AMP LIMITED price analysis, check to measure AMP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMP is operating at the current time. Most of AMP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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