Alfi Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.298

ALF
 Stock
  

USD 1.36  0.02  1.45%   

Alfi's future price is the expected price of Alfi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alfi Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of August 8, 2022, Price to Book Value is expected to decline to 3.69. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to -1.37.
  
Please continue to Alfi Backtesting, Alfi Valuation, Alfi Correlation, Alfi Hype Analysis, Alfi Volatility, Alfi History as well as Alfi Performance. Please specify Alfi time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Alfi odds to be computed.

Alfi Target Price Odds to finish over 1.298

The tendency of Alfi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 1.30  in 90 days
 1.36 90 days 1.30 
about 26.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alfi to stay above $ 1.30  in 90 days from now is about 26.53 (This Alfi Inc probability density function shows the probability of Alfi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alfi Inc price to stay between $ 1.30  and its current price of $1.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.04 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Alfi has a beta of 0.86. This suggests Alfi Inc market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alfi is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0044, implying that it can generate a 0.004371 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alfi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alfi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alfi Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alfi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Alfi in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.071.356.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.051.095.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0280061.406.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.201.301.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alfi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alfi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alfi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Alfi Inc.

Alfi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alfi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alfi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alfi Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alfi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.004371
β
Beta against DOW0.86
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio 0.001402

Alfi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alfi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alfi Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alfi Inc may become a speculative penny stock
Alfi Inc has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Alfi Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Alfi Inc was previously known as Alfi Inc WT and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol ALFIW.
The company has 85.14 K in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Alfi Inc has a current ratio of 0.34, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Alfi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alfi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alfi Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alfi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alfi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 72.32 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21.53 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (6 M).
Alfi Inc has about 345.95 K in cash with (18.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Alfi Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 47.0% of Alfi shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Alfi exotic insider transaction detected

Alfi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alfi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alfi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alfi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.16%
Short Percent Of Float2.18%
Float Shares8.06M
Shares Short Prior Month260.6k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day30.02k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month80.44k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Alfi Technical Analysis

Alfi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alfi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alfi Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alfi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alfi Predictive Forecast Models

Alfi time-series forecasting models is one of many Alfi's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alfi's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alfi Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alfi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alfi Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Alfi Alerts

Alfi Alerts and Suggestions

Alfi Inc may become a speculative penny stock
Alfi Inc has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Alfi Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Alfi Inc was previously known as Alfi Inc WT and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol ALFIW.
The company has 85.14 K in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Alfi Inc has a current ratio of 0.34, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Alfi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alfi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alfi Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alfi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alfi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 72.32 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21.53 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (6 M).
Alfi Inc has about 345.95 K in cash with (18.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Alfi Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 47.0% of Alfi shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Alfi exotic insider transaction detected
Please continue to Alfi Backtesting, Alfi Valuation, Alfi Correlation, Alfi Hype Analysis, Alfi Volatility, Alfi History as well as Alfi Performance. Note that the Alfi Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alfi's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Alfi Stock analysis

When running Alfi Inc price analysis, check to measure Alfi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alfi is operating at the current time. Most of Alfi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alfi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alfi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alfi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Alfi's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alfi. If investors know Alfi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alfi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
21.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
2.63
Return On Assets
-2.2
Return On Equity
-22.51
The market value of Alfi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alfi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alfi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alfi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alfi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alfi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alfi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Alfi value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alfi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.