Akamai Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 82.25

AKAM
 Stock
  

USD 82.25  1.33  1.64%   

Akamai Technologies' future price is the expected price of Akamai Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Akamai Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Akamai Technologies' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Akamai Technologies. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Akamai Technologies based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Akamai Technologies over a specific time period. For example, 2022-09-30 CALL at $82.0 is a CALL option contract on Akamai Technologies' common stock with a strick price of 82.0 expiring on 2022-09-30. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-27 at 15:52:47 for $1.05 and, as of today, has 1 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.05, and an ask price of $1.3. The implied volatility as of the 29th of September is 63.3713. View All Akamai options

Closest to current price Akamai long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Akamai Technologies Backtesting, Akamai Technologies Valuation, Akamai Technologies Correlation, Akamai Technologies Hype Analysis, Akamai Technologies Volatility, Akamai Technologies History as well as Akamai Technologies Performance. Please specify Akamai Technologies time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Akamai Technologies odds to be computed.

Akamai Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 82.25

The tendency of Akamai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 82.25 90 days 82.25 
about 90.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akamai Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.91 (This Akamai Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Akamai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This suggests Akamai Technologies market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Akamai Technologies is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Akamai Technologies is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Akamai Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Akamai Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akamai Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Akamai Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Akamai Technologies in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
80.9482.5184.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
74.0396.2397.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
75.5777.1478.71
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
120.00134.54183.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Akamai Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Akamai Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Akamai Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Akamai Technologies.

Akamai Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akamai Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akamai Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akamai Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akamai Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.11
β
Beta against DOW1.08
σ
Overall volatility
3.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Akamai Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akamai Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akamai Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Akamai Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Akamai Named a Web Application Firewall Leader by Independent Research Firm - Marketscreener.com

Akamai Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akamai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akamai Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akamai Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.28%
Short Percent Of Float8.34%
Float Shares157.65M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.62M
Shares Short Prior Month12.17M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.49M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Akamai Technologies Technical Analysis

Akamai Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akamai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akamai Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akamai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Akamai Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Akamai Technologies time-series forecasting models is one of many Akamai Technologies' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Akamai Technologies' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Akamai Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Akamai Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akamai Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Akamai Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Akamai Named a Web Application Firewall Leader by Independent Research Firm - Marketscreener.com
Please continue to Akamai Technologies Backtesting, Akamai Technologies Valuation, Akamai Technologies Correlation, Akamai Technologies Hype Analysis, Akamai Technologies Volatility, Akamai Technologies History as well as Akamai Technologies Performance. Note that the Akamai Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Akamai Technologies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Akamai Stock analysis

When running Akamai Technologies price analysis, check to measure Akamai Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Akamai Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Akamai Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Akamai Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Akamai Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Akamai Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Akamai Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Akamai Technologies. If investors know Akamai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Akamai Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Akamai Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Akamai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Akamai Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Akamai Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Akamai Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Akamai Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Akamai Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Akamai Technologies value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akamai Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.