Apartment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.45

AIV
 Stock
  

USD 8.23  0.16  1.98%   

Apartment Investment's future price is the expected price of Apartment Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Apartment Investment And performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Apartment Investment Price to Book Value is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Apartment Investment reported Price to Book Value of 2.35 in 2021. Price to Sales Ratio is likely to climb to 6.98 in 2022, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop (198.08)  in 2022.
  
Apartment Investment's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Apartment Investment And. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Apartment Investment based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Apartment Investment And over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $7.5 is a CALL option contract on Apartment Investment's common stock with a strick price of 7.5 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-28 at 10:39:46 for $0.85 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.6, and an ask price of $0.85. The implied volatility as of the 30th of November is 55.6871. View All Apartment options

Closest to current price Apartment long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Apartment Investment Backtesting, Apartment Investment Valuation, Apartment Investment Correlation, Apartment Investment Hype Analysis, Apartment Investment Volatility, Apartment Investment History as well as Apartment Investment Performance. Please specify Apartment Investment time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Apartment Investment odds to be computed.

Apartment Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 18.45

The tendency of Apartment Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 18.45  or more in 90 days
 8.23 90 days 18.45 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apartment Investment to move over $ 18.45  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Apartment Investment And probability density function shows the probability of Apartment Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apartment Investment And price to stay between its current price of $ 8.23  and $ 18.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.14 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Apartment Investment will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Apartment Investment And is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Apartment Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Apartment Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apartment Investment And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Apartment Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Apartment Investment in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
5.478.0410.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.2616.1618.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.048.6111.19
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
40.0040.5041.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Apartment Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Apartment Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Apartment Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Apartment Investment And.

Apartment Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apartment Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apartment Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apartment Investment And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apartment Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.23
β
Beta against DOW1.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Apartment Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apartment Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apartment Investment And can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apartment Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Apartment Investment has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Apartment Investment and Management Aimco Expands its Commitment to Governance Enhancements - Form 8-K - Marketscreener.com

Apartment Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apartment Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apartment Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apartment Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out6.96%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.51
Short Percent Of Float11.88%
Float Shares119.7M
Shares Short Prior Month9.79M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day717.65k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.56M
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.33%

Apartment Investment Technical Analysis

Apartment Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apartment Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apartment Investment And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apartment Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Apartment Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Apartment Investment time-series forecasting models is one of many Apartment Investment's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Apartment Investment's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Apartment Investment And

Checking the ongoing alerts about Apartment Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apartment Investment And help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apartment Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Apartment Investment has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Apartment Investment and Management Aimco Expands its Commitment to Governance Enhancements - Form 8-K - Marketscreener.com
Please continue to Apartment Investment Backtesting, Apartment Investment Valuation, Apartment Investment Correlation, Apartment Investment Hype Analysis, Apartment Investment Volatility, Apartment Investment History as well as Apartment Investment Performance. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Apartment Investment And price analysis, check to measure Apartment Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apartment Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Apartment Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apartment Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apartment Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apartment Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Apartment Investment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apartment Investment. If investors know Apartment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apartment Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.63) 
Market Capitalization
1.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.11
Return On Assets
0.0012
Return On Equity
0.38
The market value of Apartment Investment And is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apartment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apartment Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apartment Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apartment Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apartment Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apartment Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Apartment Investment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apartment Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.