Invesco Money Market Fund Probability of Future Money Market Fund Price Finishing Over 1.0

AGPXX
 Fund
  

USD 1.00  1.28  56.14%   

Invesco Government's future price is the expected price of Invesco Government instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Government Agency performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Invesco Government Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Government Correlation, Invesco Government Hype Analysis, Invesco Government Volatility, Invesco Government History as well as Invesco Government Performance. Please specify Invesco Government time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Invesco Government odds to be computed.

Invesco Government Target Price Odds to finish over 1.0

The tendency of Invesco Money Market Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.00 90 days 1.00 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Government to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Invesco Government Agency probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Money Market Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the money market fund has the beta coefficient of 1.42 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Invesco Government will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0611, implying that it can generate a 0.0611 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Government Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Government

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Government Agency. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Government's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Invesco Government in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.051.008.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.061.148.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Government. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Government's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Government's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Invesco Government Agency.

Invesco Government Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Government is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Government's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Government Agency, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Government within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.06
β
Beta against DOW1.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.005543

Invesco Government Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Government for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Government Agency can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Invesco Government has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Invesco Government has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Invesco Government Technical Analysis

Invesco Government's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Money Market Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Government Agency. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Money Market Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Government Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Government time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Government's money market fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Invesco Government's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the money market fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Government Agency

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Government Agency help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Invesco Government Alerts

Invesco Government Alerts and Suggestions

Invesco Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Invesco Government has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Invesco Government has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
Please continue to Invesco Government Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Government Correlation, Invesco Government Hype Analysis, Invesco Government Volatility, Invesco Government History as well as Invesco Government Performance. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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When running Invesco Government Agency price analysis, check to measure Invesco Government's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Government is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Government's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Government's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Government's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Government to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Government's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Invesco Government value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Government's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.