Agnc Investment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.02

AGNC
 Stock
  

USD 10.02  0.17  1.73%   

Agnc Investment's future price is the expected price of Agnc Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Agnc Investment Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Agnc Investment Price to Earnings Ratio are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Price to Earnings Ratio were at 12.23. The current year Price to Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 10.24, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 0.75.
  
Agnc Investment's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Agnc Investment Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Agnc Investment based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Agnc Investment Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-02 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on Agnc Investment's common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2022-12-02. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-25 at 12:59:11 for $0.15 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $0.16. The implied volatility as of the 28th of November is 28.7192. View All Agnc Investment options

Closest to current price Agnc Investment long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Agnc Investment Backtesting, Agnc Investment Valuation, Agnc Investment Correlation, Agnc Investment Hype Analysis, Agnc Investment Volatility, Agnc Investment History as well as Agnc Investment Performance. Please specify Agnc Investment time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Agnc Investment odds to be computed.

Agnc Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 10.02

The tendency of Agnc Investment Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.02 90 days 10.02 
about 34.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agnc Investment to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.95 (This Agnc Investment Corp probability density function shows the probability of Agnc Investment Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Agnc Investment will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Agnc Investment Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Agnc Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Agnc Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agnc Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agnc Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Agnc Investment in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
6.7810.0713.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.3611.6514.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.7410.0313.33
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0017.3018.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Agnc Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Agnc Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Agnc Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Agnc Investment Corp.

Agnc Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agnc Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agnc Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agnc Investment Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agnc Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.3
β
Beta against DOW1.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Agnc Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agnc Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agnc Investment Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Agnc Investment Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Agnc Investment Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company currently holds 41.63 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.76, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Agnc Investment Corp has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Agnc Investment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Agnc Investment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Agnc Investment Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Agnc Investment to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Agnc Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.88 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 837 M.
On 9th of November 2022 Agnc Investment paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: AGNC INVESTMENT CORP. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Marketscreener.com

Agnc Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agnc Investment Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agnc Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agnc Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date28th of October 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out4.74%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.44
Short Percent Of Float4.76%
Float Shares567.01M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day13.15M
Shares Short Prior Month17.88M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month15.35M
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022

Agnc Investment Technical Analysis

Agnc Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agnc Investment Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agnc Investment Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agnc Investment Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Agnc Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Agnc Investment time-series forecasting models is one of many Agnc Investment's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Agnc Investment's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Agnc Investment Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Agnc Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agnc Investment Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Agnc Investment Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Agnc Investment Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company currently holds 41.63 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.76, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Agnc Investment Corp has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Agnc Investment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Agnc Investment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Agnc Investment Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Agnc Investment to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Agnc Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.88 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 837 M.
On 9th of November 2022 Agnc Investment paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: AGNC INVESTMENT CORP. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Marketscreener.com
Please continue to Agnc Investment Backtesting, Agnc Investment Valuation, Agnc Investment Correlation, Agnc Investment Hype Analysis, Agnc Investment Volatility, Agnc Investment History as well as Agnc Investment Performance. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Agnc Investment Corp price analysis, check to measure Agnc Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agnc Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Agnc Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agnc Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agnc Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agnc Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Agnc Investment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agnc Investment. If investors know Agnc Investment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agnc Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.70) 
Market Capitalization
5.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.66) 
Return On Assets
(0.0279) 
Return On Equity
(0.20) 
The market value of Agnc Investment Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agnc Investment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agnc Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agnc Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agnc Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agnc Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agnc Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Agnc Investment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agnc Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.