AERGO Chance of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Over 0.14

AERGO
  

USD 0.14  0.01  6.67%   

AERGO's future price is the expected price of AERGO instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AERGO performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Trending Equities.Please specify AERGO time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like AERGO odds to be computed.

AERGO Target Price Odds to finish over 0.14

The tendency of AERGO Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.14 90 days 0.14 
about 28.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AERGO to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.93 (This AERGO probability density function shows the probability of AERGO Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AERGO has a beta of 0.0744. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AERGO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AERGO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.8468, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AERGO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AERGO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AERGO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AERGO's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AERGO in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.010.148.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.010.128.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0033010.178.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.140.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AERGO. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AERGO's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AERGO's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AERGO.

AERGO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AERGO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AERGO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AERGO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AERGO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.85
β
Beta against DOW0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.017957
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

AERGO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AERGO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AERGO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AERGO is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
AERGO is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AERGO has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
AERGO appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

AERGO Technical Analysis

AERGO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AERGO Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AERGO. In general, you should focus on analyzing AERGO Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AERGO Predictive Forecast Models

AERGO time-series forecasting models is one of many AERGO's crypto coin analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary AERGO's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AERGO

Checking the ongoing alerts about AERGO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AERGO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

AERGO Alerts

AERGO Alerts and Suggestions

AERGO is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
AERGO is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AERGO has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
AERGO appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the AERGO information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AERGO's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Other Tools for AERGO Crypto Coin

When running AERGO price analysis, check to measure AERGO's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AERGO is operating at the current time. Most of AERGO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of AERGO's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AERGO's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding AERGO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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