Aeroclean Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.54

AERC
 Stock
  

USD 3.38  0.12  3.68%   

Aeroclean Technologies' future price is the expected price of Aeroclean Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aeroclean Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Aeroclean Technologies Backtesting, Aeroclean Technologies Valuation, Aeroclean Technologies Correlation, Aeroclean Technologies Hype Analysis, Aeroclean Technologies Volatility, Aeroclean Technologies History as well as Aeroclean Technologies Performance. Please specify Aeroclean Technologies time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aeroclean Technologies odds to be computed.

Aeroclean Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 4.54

The tendency of Aeroclean Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 4.54  after 90 days
 3.38 90 days 4.54 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aeroclean Technologies to stay under $ 4.54  after 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Aeroclean Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Aeroclean Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aeroclean Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 3.38  and $ 4.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.35 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.57 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aeroclean Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 9.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 9.29E-4 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aeroclean Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aeroclean Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aeroclean Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aeroclean Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Aeroclean Technologies in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.173.4616.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.163.2315.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.083.8016.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.073.293.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aeroclean Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aeroclean Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aeroclean Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Aeroclean Technologies.

Aeroclean Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aeroclean Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aeroclean Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aeroclean Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aeroclean Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.00092942
β
Beta against DOW3.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.01272

Aeroclean Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aeroclean Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aeroclean Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aeroclean Technologies has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 694.16 K. Net Loss for the year was (11.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.62 K.
Aeroclean Technologies currently holds about 29.16 M in cash with (8.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.89.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: SHAREHOLDER ALERT Weiss Law Reminds LBC, AERC, AKUS, and ABMD Shareholders About Its Ongoing Investigations - Marketscreener.com

Aeroclean Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aeroclean Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aeroclean Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aeroclean Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out6.81%
Short Percent Of Float15.45%
Float Shares5.59M
Shares Short Prior Month331.14k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day260.7k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.59M
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022

Aeroclean Technologies Technical Analysis

Aeroclean Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aeroclean Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aeroclean Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aeroclean Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aeroclean Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Aeroclean Technologies time-series forecasting models is one of many Aeroclean Technologies' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aeroclean Technologies' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aeroclean Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aeroclean Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aeroclean Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aeroclean Technologies has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 694.16 K. Net Loss for the year was (11.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.62 K.
Aeroclean Technologies currently holds about 29.16 M in cash with (8.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.89.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: SHAREHOLDER ALERT Weiss Law Reminds LBC, AERC, AKUS, and ABMD Shareholders About Its Ongoing Investigations - Marketscreener.com
Please continue to Aeroclean Technologies Backtesting, Aeroclean Technologies Valuation, Aeroclean Technologies Correlation, Aeroclean Technologies Hype Analysis, Aeroclean Technologies Volatility, Aeroclean Technologies History as well as Aeroclean Technologies Performance. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Aeroclean Technologies price analysis, check to measure Aeroclean Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aeroclean Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Aeroclean Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aeroclean Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aeroclean Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aeroclean Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aeroclean Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aeroclean Technologies. If investors know Aeroclean will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aeroclean Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
52.4 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.78) 
Return On Assets
(0.53) 
Return On Equity
(0.22) 
The market value of Aeroclean Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aeroclean that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aeroclean Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aeroclean Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aeroclean Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aeroclean Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aeroclean Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aeroclean Technologies value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aeroclean Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.