ADA Chance of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Over 5.20

ADA
 Crypto
  

USD 0.31  0.01  3.13%   

ADA's future price is the expected price of ADA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ADA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to ADA Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ADA Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, ADA Volatility, ADA History as well as ADA Performance. Please specify ADA time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ADA odds to be computed.

ADA Target Price Odds to finish over 5.20

The tendency of ADA Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.20  or more in 90 days
 0.31 90 days 5.20 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ADA to move over $ 5.20  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ADA probability density function shows the probability of ADA Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ADA price to stay between its current price of $ 0.31  and $ 5.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ADA has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding ADA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, ADA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. ADA is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   ADA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ADA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ADA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ADA in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.010.204.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.010.284.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ADA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ADA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ADA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in ADA.

ADA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ADA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ADA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ADA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ADA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.6
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

ADA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ADA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ADA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ADA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ADA has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
ADA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Crypto lender Genesis tells clients it is working to preserve their assets - Reuters

ADA Technical Analysis

ADA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ADA Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ADA. In general, you should focus on analyzing ADA Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ADA Predictive Forecast Models

ADA time-series forecasting models is one of many ADA's crypto coin analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ADA's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ADA

Checking the ongoing alerts about ADA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ADA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ADA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ADA has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
ADA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Crypto lender Genesis tells clients it is working to preserve their assets - Reuters
Please continue to ADA Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ADA Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, ADA Volatility, ADA History as well as ADA Performance. Note that the ADA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ADA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Other Tools for ADA Crypto Coin

When running ADA price analysis, check to measure ADA's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADA is operating at the current time. Most of ADA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of ADA's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADA's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding ADA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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