Advisors Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.33

ACTIX
 Fund
  

USD 9.33  0.04  0.43%   

Advisors Capital's future price is the expected price of Advisors Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Advisors Capital Tactical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Advisors Capital Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Advisors Capital Correlation, Advisors Capital Hype Analysis, Advisors Capital Volatility, Advisors Capital History as well as Advisors Capital Performance. Please specify Advisors Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Advisors Capital odds to be computed.

Advisors Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 9.33

The tendency of Advisors Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.33 90 days 9.33 
about 8.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advisors Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.33 (This Advisors Capital Tactical probability density function shows the probability of Advisors Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Advisors Capital has a beta of 0.0266. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Advisors Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Advisors Capital Tactical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0045, implying that it can generate a 0.00449 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Advisors Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Advisors Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advisors Capital Tactical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advisors Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Advisors Capital in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.959.339.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.919.299.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Advisors Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Advisors Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Advisors Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Advisors Capital Tactical.

Advisors Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advisors Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advisors Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advisors Capital Tactical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advisors Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.00449
β
Beta against DOW0.0266
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Advisors Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advisors Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advisors Capital Tactical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advisors Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%
Advisors Capital Tactical holds 96.93% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Advisors Capital Technical Analysis

Advisors Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advisors Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advisors Capital Tactical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advisors Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Advisors Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Advisors Capital time-series forecasting models is one of many Advisors Capital's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Advisors Capital's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Advisors Capital Tactical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Advisors Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advisors Capital Tactical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Advisors Capital Alerts

Advisors Capital Alerts and Suggestions

Advisors Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%
Advisors Capital Tactical holds 96.93% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please continue to Advisors Capital Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Advisors Capital Correlation, Advisors Capital Hype Analysis, Advisors Capital Volatility, Advisors Capital History as well as Advisors Capital Performance. Note that the Advisors Capital Tactical information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Advisors Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Advisors Capital Tactical price analysis, check to measure Advisors Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advisors Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Advisors Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advisors Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advisors Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advisors Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Advisors Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Advisors Capital value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advisors Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.