Aci Worldwide Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.87

ACIW
 Stock
  

USD 26.13  0.30  1.14%   

Aci Worldwide's future price is the expected price of Aci Worldwide instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aci Worldwide performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Aci Worldwide Price to Earnings Ratio are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Aci Worldwide reported Price to Earnings Ratio of 31.84 in 2021. Price to Sales Ratio is likely to climb to 3.14 in 2022, whereas Price to Book Value is likely to drop 3.21 in 2022.
  
Aci Worldwide's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Aci Worldwide. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Aci Worldwide based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Aci Worldwide over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Aci Worldwide's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-07-27 at 15:28:55 for $3.4 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.3, and an ask price of $3.4. The implied volatility as of the 11th of August 2022 is 113.9994. View All Aci Worldwide options

Closest to current price Aci Worldwide long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Aci Worldwide Backtesting, Aci Worldwide Valuation, Aci Worldwide Correlation, Aci Worldwide Hype Analysis, Aci Worldwide Volatility, Aci Worldwide History as well as Aci Worldwide Performance. Please specify Aci Worldwide time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aci Worldwide odds to be computed.

Aci Worldwide Target Price Odds to finish over 25.87

The tendency of Aci Worldwide Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 25.87  in 90 days
 26.13 90 days 25.87 
about 75.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aci Worldwide to stay above $ 25.87  in 90 days from now is about 75.8 (This Aci Worldwide probability density function shows the probability of Aci Worldwide Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aci Worldwide price to stay between $ 25.87  and its current price of $26.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.8 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 . This suggests Aci Worldwide market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aci Worldwide is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Aci Worldwide is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Aci Worldwide Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aci Worldwide

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aci Worldwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aci Worldwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Aci Worldwide in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.9826.1428.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.5232.7734.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
22.4924.6426.80
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0043.5045.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aci Worldwide. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aci Worldwide's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aci Worldwide's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Aci Worldwide.

Aci Worldwide Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aci Worldwide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aci Worldwide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aci Worldwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aci Worldwide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.02
β
Beta against DOW1.10
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.0071

Aci Worldwide Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aci Worldwide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aci Worldwide can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aci Worldwide was previously known as ACI WORLDWIDE INC and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol TSAI.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Eximbay Strengthens Cross-Border eCommerce Fraud Management with ACI Worldwide - Marketscreener.com

Aci Worldwide Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aci Worldwide Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aci Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aci Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.81%
Short Percent Of Float3.19%
Float Shares113.58M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day709.87k
Shares Short Prior Month3.59M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month686.07k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Aci Worldwide Technical Analysis

Aci Worldwide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aci Worldwide Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aci Worldwide. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aci Worldwide Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aci Worldwide Predictive Forecast Models

Aci Worldwide time-series forecasting models is one of many Aci Worldwide's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aci Worldwide's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aci Worldwide

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aci Worldwide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aci Worldwide help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Aci Worldwide Alerts

Aci Worldwide Alerts and Suggestions

Aci Worldwide was previously known as ACI WORLDWIDE INC and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol TSAI.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Eximbay Strengthens Cross-Border eCommerce Fraud Management with ACI Worldwide - Marketscreener.com
Please continue to Aci Worldwide Backtesting, Aci Worldwide Valuation, Aci Worldwide Correlation, Aci Worldwide Hype Analysis, Aci Worldwide Volatility, Aci Worldwide History as well as Aci Worldwide Performance. Note that the Aci Worldwide information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aci Worldwide's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Aci Worldwide Stock analysis

When running Aci Worldwide price analysis, check to measure Aci Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aci Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Aci Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aci Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aci Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aci Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aci Worldwide's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aci Worldwide. If investors know Aci Worldwide will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aci Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.33
Market Capitalization
2.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Return On Assets
0.0494
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Aci Worldwide is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aci Worldwide that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aci Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aci Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aci Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aci Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aci Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aci Worldwide value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aci Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.