Albertsons Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.66

ACI
 Stock
  

USD 24.66  0.36  1.44%   

Albertsons Companies' future price is the expected price of Albertsons Companies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Albertsons Companies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Albertsons Companies' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Albertsons Companies. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Albertsons Companies based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Albertsons Companies over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Albertsons Companies' common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-26 at 15:59:38 for $1.25 and, as of today, has 24 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.2, and an ask price of $1.3. The implied volatility as of the 27th of September is 47.8437. View All Albertsons options

Closest to current price Albertsons long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Albertsons Companies Backtesting, Albertsons Companies Valuation, Albertsons Companies Correlation, Albertsons Companies Hype Analysis, Albertsons Companies Volatility, Albertsons Companies History as well as Albertsons Companies Performance. Please specify Albertsons Companies time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Albertsons Companies odds to be computed.

Albertsons Companies Target Price Odds to finish over 24.66

The tendency of Albertsons Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.66 90 days 24.66 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Albertsons Companies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Albertsons Companies probability density function shows the probability of Albertsons Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Albertsons Companies has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Albertsons Companies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Albertsons Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Albertsons Companies is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Albertsons Companies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Albertsons Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Albertsons Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Albertsons Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Albertsons Companies in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.3725.1126.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.6128.9830.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
22.0023.7325.47
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
19.0031.7740.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Albertsons Companies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Albertsons Companies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Albertsons Companies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Albertsons Companies.

Albertsons Companies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Albertsons Companies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Albertsons Companies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Albertsons Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Albertsons Companies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.18
β
Beta against DOW0.65
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Albertsons Companies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Albertsons Companies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Albertsons Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Albertsons Companies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Albertsons Companies is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 10th of August 2022 Albertsons Companies paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.henryherald.com: Beyond Meat Stock Slides As COO Suspended Following Weekend Arrest For Alleged Nose Biting Incident - Henry Herald

Albertsons Companies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Albertsons Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Albertsons Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Albertsons Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.44%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.40
Short Percent Of Float3.83%
Float Shares196.55M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.01M
Shares Short Prior Month6.81M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.25M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.60%

Albertsons Companies Technical Analysis

Albertsons Companies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Albertsons Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Albertsons Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Albertsons Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Albertsons Companies Predictive Forecast Models

Albertsons Companies time-series forecasting models is one of many Albertsons Companies' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Albertsons Companies' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Albertsons Companies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Albertsons Companies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Albertsons Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Albertsons Companies Alerts

Albertsons Companies Alerts and Suggestions

Albertsons Companies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Albertsons Companies is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 10th of August 2022 Albertsons Companies paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.henryherald.com: Beyond Meat Stock Slides As COO Suspended Following Weekend Arrest For Alleged Nose Biting Incident - Henry Herald
Please continue to Albertsons Companies Backtesting, Albertsons Companies Valuation, Albertsons Companies Correlation, Albertsons Companies Hype Analysis, Albertsons Companies Volatility, Albertsons Companies History as well as Albertsons Companies Performance. Note that the Albertsons Companies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Albertsons Companies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for Albertsons Stock analysis

When running Albertsons Companies price analysis, check to measure Albertsons Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Albertsons Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Albertsons Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Albertsons Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Albertsons Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Albertsons Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Albertsons Companies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Albertsons Companies. If investors know Albertsons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Albertsons Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Albertsons Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Albertsons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Albertsons Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Albertsons Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Albertsons Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Albertsons Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Albertsons Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Albertsons Companies value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Albertsons Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.