Focused Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 34.89

ACFGX
 Fund
  

USD 44.89  1.45  3.13%   

Focused Dynamic's future price is the expected price of Focused Dynamic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Focused Dynamic Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Focused Dynamic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Focused Dynamic Correlation, Focused Dynamic Hype Analysis, Focused Dynamic Volatility, Focused Dynamic History as well as Focused Dynamic Performance. Please specify Focused Dynamic time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Focused Dynamic odds to be computed.

Focused Dynamic Target Price Odds to finish below 34.89

The tendency of Focused Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 34.89  or more in 90 days
 44.89 90 days 34.89 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Focused Dynamic to drop to $ 34.89  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Focused Dynamic Growth probability density function shows the probability of Focused Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Focused Dynamic Growth price to stay between $ 34.89  and its current price of $44.89 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Focused Dynamic has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Focused Dynamic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Focused Dynamic Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1447, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Focused Dynamic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Focused Dynamic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Focused Dynamic Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Focused Dynamic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Focused Dynamic in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
44.0146.3448.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
41.0843.4150.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
44.3546.6849.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.7641.6446.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Focused Dynamic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Focused Dynamic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Focused Dynamic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Focused Dynamic Growth.

Focused Dynamic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Focused Dynamic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Focused Dynamic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Focused Dynamic Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Focused Dynamic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.14
β
Beta against DOW0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.041184

Focused Dynamic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Focused Dynamic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Focused Dynamic Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.44% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Focused Dynamic Technical Analysis

Focused Dynamic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Focused Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Focused Dynamic Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Focused Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Focused Dynamic Predictive Forecast Models

Focused Dynamic time-series forecasting models is one of many Focused Dynamic's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Focused Dynamic's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Focused Dynamic Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Focused Dynamic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Focused Dynamic Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Focused Dynamic Alerts

Focused Dynamic Alerts and Suggestions

The fund holds 99.44% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please continue to Focused Dynamic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Focused Dynamic Correlation, Focused Dynamic Hype Analysis, Focused Dynamic Volatility, Focused Dynamic History as well as Focused Dynamic Performance. Note that the Focused Dynamic Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Focused Dynamic's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Complementary Tools for Focused Mutual Fund analysis

When running Focused Dynamic Growth price analysis, check to measure Focused Dynamic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Focused Dynamic is operating at the current time. Most of Focused Dynamic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Focused Dynamic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Focused Dynamic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Focused Dynamic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Focused Dynamic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Focused Dynamic value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Focused Dynamic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.