Associated Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.88

AC
 Stock
  

USD 41.88  0.80  1.87%   

Associated Capital's future price is the expected price of Associated Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Associated Capital Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 25.19, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 0.93.
  
Please continue to Associated Capital Backtesting, Associated Capital Valuation, Associated Capital Correlation, Associated Capital Hype Analysis, Associated Capital Volatility, Associated Capital History as well as Associated Capital Performance. Please specify Associated Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Associated Capital odds to be computed.

Associated Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 41.88

The tendency of Associated Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 41.88 90 days 41.88 
about 8.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Associated Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.99 (This Associated Capital Group probability density function shows the probability of Associated Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Associated Capital has a beta of 0.52. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Associated Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Associated Capital Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0366, implying that it can generate a 0.0366 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Associated Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Associated Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Associated Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Associated Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Associated Capital in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
40.0941.9443.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
38.6140.4642.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
40.7042.5644.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.8240.6642.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Associated Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Associated Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Associated Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Associated Capital.

Associated Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Associated Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Associated Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Associated Capital Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Associated Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03655
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.52
σ
Overall volatility
1.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.001636

Associated Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Associated Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Associated Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: DURECT Announces 1-for-10 Reverse Stock Split - Yahoo Finance

Associated Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Associated Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Associated Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Associated Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22369000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments380044000.00

Associated Capital Technical Analysis

Associated Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Associated Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Associated Capital Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Associated Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Associated Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Associated Capital time-series forecasting models is one of many Associated Capital's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Associated Capital's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Associated Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Associated Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Associated Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: DURECT Announces 1-for-10 Reverse Stock Split - Yahoo Finance
Please continue to Associated Capital Backtesting, Associated Capital Valuation, Associated Capital Correlation, Associated Capital Hype Analysis, Associated Capital Volatility, Associated Capital History as well as Associated Capital Performance. Note that the Associated Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Associated Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Associated Stock analysis

When running Associated Capital price analysis, check to measure Associated Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Associated Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Associated Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Associated Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Associated Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Associated Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Associated Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Associated Capital. If investors know Associated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Associated Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.81) 
Market Capitalization
921.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.213
Return On Assets
(0.0063) 
Return On Equity
(0.0489) 
The market value of Associated Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Associated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Associated Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Associated Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Associated Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Associated Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Associated Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Associated Capital value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Associated Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.