FUJIAN AONONG (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.45

603363
  

CNY 16.45  0.31  1.92%   

FUJIAN AONONG's future price is the expected price of FUJIAN AONONG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOGICAL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to FUJIAN AONONG Backtesting, FUJIAN AONONG Valuation, FUJIAN AONONG Correlation, FUJIAN AONONG Hype Analysis, FUJIAN AONONG Volatility, FUJIAN AONONG History as well as FUJIAN AONONG Performance. Please specify FUJIAN AONONG time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FUJIAN AONONG odds to be computed.

FUJIAN AONONG Target Price Odds to finish over 16.45

The tendency of FUJIAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.45 90 days 16.45 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FUJIAN AONONG to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOGICAL probability density function shows the probability of FUJIAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FUJIAN AONONG has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, FUJIAN AONONG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOGICAL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0824, implying that it can generate a 0.0824 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FUJIAN AONONG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FUJIAN AONONG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FUJIAN AONONG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FUJIAN AONONG in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.4316.4520.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.6415.6619.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.8314.8618.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.8019.3222.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FUJIAN AONONG. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FUJIAN AONONG's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FUJIAN AONONG's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG.

FUJIAN AONONG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FUJIAN AONONG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FUJIAN AONONG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOGICAL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FUJIAN AONONG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.08
β
Beta against DOW0.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.040201

FUJIAN AONONG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FUJIAN AONONG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 10 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.58, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FUJIAN AONONG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FUJIAN AONONG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FUJIAN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FUJIAN AONONG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 18.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.03 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 257.66 M.
About 44.0% of FUJIAN AONONG shares are owned by insiders or employees

FUJIAN AONONG Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FUJIAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FUJIAN AONONG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FUJIAN AONONG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.23
Float Shares262.19M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day22.21M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month31.52M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.41%

FUJIAN AONONG Technical Analysis

FUJIAN AONONG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FUJIAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOGICAL. In general, you should focus on analyzing FUJIAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FUJIAN AONONG Predictive Forecast Models

FUJIAN AONONG time-series forecasting models is one of many FUJIAN AONONG's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary FUJIAN AONONG's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG

Checking the ongoing alerts about FUJIAN AONONG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 10 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.58, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FUJIAN AONONG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FUJIAN AONONG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FUJIAN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FUJIAN AONONG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 18.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.03 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 257.66 M.
About 44.0% of FUJIAN AONONG shares are owned by insiders or employees
Please continue to FUJIAN AONONG Backtesting, FUJIAN AONONG Valuation, FUJIAN AONONG Correlation, FUJIAN AONONG Hype Analysis, FUJIAN AONONG Volatility, FUJIAN AONONG History as well as FUJIAN AONONG Performance. Note that the FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FUJIAN AONONG's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Other Tools for FUJIAN Stock

When running FUJIAN AONONG BIOLOG price analysis, check to measure FUJIAN AONONG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FUJIAN AONONG is operating at the current time. Most of FUJIAN AONONG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FUJIAN AONONG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FUJIAN AONONG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FUJIAN AONONG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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