SUN CREATE (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.60

600990
  

CNY 32.60  0.18  0.55%   

SUN CREATE's future price is the expected price of SUN CREATE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to SUN CREATE Backtesting, SUN CREATE Valuation, SUN CREATE Correlation, SUN CREATE Hype Analysis, SUN CREATE Volatility, SUN CREATE History as well as SUN CREATE Performance. Please specify SUN CREATE time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like SUN CREATE odds to be computed.

SUN CREATE Target Price Odds to finish over 32.60

The tendency of 600990 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 32.60 90 days 32.60 
about 7.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SUN CREATE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.14 (This SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS probability density function shows the probability of 600990 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS has a beta of -0.0793. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding SUN CREATE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0435, implying that it can generate a 0.0435 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SUN CREATE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SUN CREATE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of SUN CREATE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of SUN CREATE in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
30.2132.6034.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.7426.1335.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
31.1033.5035.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.2429.9132.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SUN CREATE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SUN CREATE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SUN CREATE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS.

SUN CREATE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SUN CREATE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SUN CREATE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SUN CREATE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.043515
β
Beta against DOW-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

SUN CREATE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SUN CREATE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SUN CREATE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SUN CREATE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 600990 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SUN CREATE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SUN CREATE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date25th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.27
Float Shares109.31M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.1M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.09M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.90%

SUN CREATE Technical Analysis

SUN CREATE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 600990 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS. In general, you should focus on analyzing 600990 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SUN CREATE Predictive Forecast Models

SUN CREATE time-series forecasting models is one of many SUN CREATE's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary SUN CREATE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS

Checking the ongoing alerts about SUN CREATE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SUN CREATE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Please continue to SUN CREATE Backtesting, SUN CREATE Valuation, SUN CREATE Correlation, SUN CREATE Hype Analysis, SUN CREATE Volatility, SUN CREATE History as well as SUN CREATE Performance. Note that the SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SUN CREATE's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for 600990 Stock analysis

When running SUN CREATE ELECTRONICS price analysis, check to measure SUN CREATE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SUN CREATE is operating at the current time. Most of SUN CREATE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SUN CREATE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SUN CREATE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SUN CREATE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between SUN CREATE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine SUN CREATE value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SUN CREATE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.