HITHINK ROYALFLUSH (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 78.22

300033
  

CNY 78.22  0.78  0.99%   

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's future price is the expected price of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Backtesting, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Valuation, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Correlation, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Hype Analysis, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Volatility, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH History as well as HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Performance. Please specify HITHINK ROYALFLUSH time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like HITHINK ROYALFLUSH odds to be computed.

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Target Price Odds to finish over 78.22

The tendency of HITHINK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 78.22 90 days 78.22 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This HITHINK ROYALFLUSH probability density function shows the probability of HITHINK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HITHINK ROYALFLUSH has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HITHINK ROYALFLUSH will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. HITHINK ROYALFLUSH is significantly underperforming DOW.
   HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HITHINK ROYALFLUSH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HITHINK ROYALFLUSH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
76.3078.2280.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
68.4570.3786.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
74.5376.4578.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.1283.9286.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HITHINK ROYALFLUSH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in HITHINK ROYALFLUSH.

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HITHINK ROYALFLUSH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HITHINK ROYALFLUSH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.08
β
Beta against DOW0.14
σ
Overall volatility
5.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.010335

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HITHINK ROYALFLUSH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HITHINK ROYALFLUSH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HITHINK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.20
Float Shares182.83M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.76M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.7M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.43%

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Technical Analysis

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HITHINK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH. In general, you should focus on analyzing HITHINK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Predictive Forecast Models

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH time-series forecasting models is one of many HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HITHINK ROYALFLUSH

Checking the ongoing alerts about HITHINK ROYALFLUSH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HITHINK ROYALFLUSH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Alerts

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Alerts and Suggestions

HITHINK ROYALFLUSH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Please continue to HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Backtesting, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Valuation, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Correlation, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Hype Analysis, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Volatility, HITHINK ROYALFLUSH History as well as HITHINK ROYALFLUSH Performance. Note that the HITHINK ROYALFLUSH information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Other Tools for HITHINK Stock

When running HITHINK ROYALFLUSH price analysis, check to measure HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HITHINK ROYALFLUSH is operating at the current time. Most of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HITHINK ROYALFLUSH's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HITHINK ROYALFLUSH to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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