SP 500 Index Chance of Future Index Price Finishing Over 3,857

GSPC
 Index
  

 3,825  39.95  1.06%   

SP 500's future price is the expected price of SP 500 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SP 500 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Check out SP 500 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SP 500 Correlation, SP 500 Hype Analysis, SP 500 Volatility, SP 500 History as well as SP 500 Performance. Please specify SP 500 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like SP 500 odds to be computed.
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SP 500 Target Price Odds to finish over 3,857

The tendency of SP 500 Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3,825 90 days 3,825  about 87.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SP 500 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.1 (This SP 500 probability density function shows the probability of SP 500 Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
 SP 500 Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for SP 500

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SP 500. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of SP 500's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of SP 500 in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3,8243,8253,827
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3,4413,4434,208
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3,9663,9673,969
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,6533,9944,336
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SP 500. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SP 500's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SP 500's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in SP 500.

SP 500 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SP 500 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SP 500's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SP 500, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SP 500 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

SP 500 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SP 500 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SP 500 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SP 500 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SP 500 Technical Analysis

SP 500's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SP 500 Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SP 500. In general, you should focus on analyzing SP 500 Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SP 500 Predictive Forecast Models

SP 500 time-series forecasting models is one of many SP 500's index analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary SP 500's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SP 500

Checking the ongoing alerts about SP 500 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SP 500 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

SP 500 Alerts

SP 500 Alerts and Suggestions

SP 500 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out SP 500 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SP 500 Correlation, SP 500 Hype Analysis, SP 500 Volatility, SP 500 History as well as SP 500 Performance. Note that the SP 500 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SP 500's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

Other Tools for SP 500 Index

When running SP 500 price analysis, check to measure SP 500's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SP 500 is operating at the current time. Most of SP 500's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SP 500's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SP 500's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SP 500 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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