DOW JONES Index Probability of Future Index Price Finishing Over 31,721

DJI
 Stock
  

 34,590  737.24  2.18%   

DOW JONES's future price is the expected price of DOW JONES instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. DOW JONES's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL. Implied volatility approximates the future value of DOW JONES based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-09 CALL at $354.0 is a CALL option contract on DOW JONES's common stock with a strick price of 354.0 expiring on 2022-12-09. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 5 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.03, and an ask price of $0.17. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 12.5211. View All DOW JONES options

Closest to current price DOW JONES long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Check out DOW JONES Backtesting, DOW JONES Valuation, DOW JONES Correlation, DOW JONES Hype Analysis, DOW JONES Volatility, DOW JONES History as well as DOW JONES Performance. Please specify DOW JONES time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like DOW JONES odds to be computed.

DOW JONES Target Price Odds to finish over 31,721

The tendency of DOW JONES Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 34,590 90 days 34,590 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DOW JONES to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL probability density function shows the probability of DOW JONES Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
   DOW JONES Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DOW JONES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of DOW JONES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of DOW JONES in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
34,58834,59034,591
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
32,85932,86038,049
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DOW JONES. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DOW JONES's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DOW JONES's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL.

DOW JONES Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DOW JONES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DOW JONES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DOW JONES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

DOW JONES Technical Analysis

DOW JONES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DOW JONES Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL. In general, you should focus on analyzing DOW JONES Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DOW JONES Predictive Forecast Models

DOW JONES time-series forecasting models is one of many DOW JONES's index analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary DOW JONES's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the index market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards DOW JONES in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, DOW JONES's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from DOW JONES options trading.
Check out DOW JONES Backtesting, DOW JONES Valuation, DOW JONES Correlation, DOW JONES Hype Analysis, DOW JONES Volatility, DOW JONES History as well as DOW JONES Performance. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Other Tools for DOW JONES Index

When running DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL price analysis, check to measure DOW JONES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DOW JONES is operating at the current time. Most of DOW JONES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DOW JONES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DOW JONES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DOW JONES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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