Wells Fargo Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

WFC
 Stock
  

USD 43.76  0.99  2.31%   

Wells Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Wells Fargo historical stock prices and determine the direction of Wells Fargo's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Wells Fargo historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Wells Fargo naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Wells Fargo systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Wells Fargo fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wells Fargo to cross-verify your projections.
  
Wells Fargo Cash and Equivalents Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Cash and Equivalents Turnover was at 0.33. The current year Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas PPandE Turnover is forecasted to decline to 9.21. . Wells Fargo Weighted Average Shares is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Weighted Average Shares was at 4.06 Billion. The current year Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to grow to about 5 B, whereas Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is forecasted to decline to (7.9 B).

Open Interest Agains t 2022-08-12 Wells Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Wells Fargo's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Wells Fargo's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Wells Fargo stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Wells Fargo's open interest, investors have to compare it to Wells Fargo's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Wells Fargo is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Wells. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Wells Fargo cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Wells Fargo's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Wells Fargo's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Wells Fargo polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Wells Fargo as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Wells Fargo Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of August

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Wells Fargo on the next trading day is expected to be 46.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47, mean absolute percentage error of 3.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wells Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wells Fargo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wells Fargo Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wells Fargo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wells Fargo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wells Fargo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.12 and 48.80, respectively. We have considered Wells Fargo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 43.76
46.46
Expected Value
48.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wells Fargo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wells Fargo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.2753
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4744
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0354
SAESum of the absolute errors89.9399
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Wells Fargo historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Wells Fargo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wells Fargo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Wells Fargo in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
41.4243.7646.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
39.3851.3353.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.4043.2244.05
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
41.0060.0870.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wells Fargo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wells Fargo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wells Fargo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Wells Fargo.

Other Forecasting Options for Wells Fargo

For every potential investor in Wells, whether a beginner or expert, Wells Fargo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wells Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wells. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wells Fargo's price trends.

Wells Fargo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wells Fargo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wells Fargo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wells Fargo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
3M CompanyUS BancorpAmerican ExpressMcDonalds CorpAlcoa CorpChevron CorpStarbucks CorpInternational BusinessPfizer IncAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpKEURIG DR PEPPERGX Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual European
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wells Fargo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wells Fargo's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wells Fargo's current price.

Wells Fargo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wells Fargo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wells Fargo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wells Fargo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wells Fargo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wells Fargo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wells Fargo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wells Fargo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Wells Fargo stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Wells Fargo without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wells Fargo to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Wells Fargo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wells Fargo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

Complementary Tools for Wells Stock analysis

When running Wells Fargo price analysis, check to measure Wells Fargo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wells Fargo is operating at the current time. Most of Wells Fargo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wells Fargo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wells Fargo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wells Fargo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wells Fargo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wells Fargo. If investors know Wells will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wells Fargo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.46
Market Capitalization
170.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.24
Return On Assets
0.0097
Return On Equity
0.0995
The market value of Wells Fargo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wells that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wells Fargo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wells Fargo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wells Fargo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wells Fargo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Wells Fargo value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.