Tor Minerals OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TORM
 Stock
  

USD 2.70  0.10  3.57%   

Tor Minerals OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tor Minerals historical stock prices and determine the direction of Tor Minerals Intl's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Tor Minerals historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tor Minerals to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Tor Minerals cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Tor Minerals' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Tor Minerals' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Tor Minerals polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Tor Minerals Intl as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Tor Minerals Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of August 2022

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tor Minerals Intl on the next trading day is expected to be 2.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.049267, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tor Minerals OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tor Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tor Minerals OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tor Minerals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tor Minerals' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tor Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.027 and 10.40, respectively. We have considered Tor Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 2.70
2.67
Expected Value
10.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tor Minerals otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tor Minerals otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1697
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0722
SAESum of the absolute errors10.3526
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Tor Minerals historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Tor Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tor Minerals Intl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tor Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Tor Minerals in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.142.7310.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.112.199.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.822.593.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tor Minerals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tor Minerals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tor Minerals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Tor Minerals Intl.

Other Forecasting Options for Tor Minerals

For every potential investor in Tor Minerals, whether a beginner or expert, Tor Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tor Minerals OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tor Minerals. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tor Minerals' price trends.

Tor Minerals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tor Minerals otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tor Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tor Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Amn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpKEURIG DR PEPPERGX Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanGARDNER DENVER INCUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian GoldAramark Holdings CorpLong-Term Govt BondLIFE STORAGE INCMaiden Holdings NorthVistra Energy CorpExxon Mobil Corp
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tor Minerals Intl Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tor Minerals' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tor Minerals' current price.

Tor Minerals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tor Minerals otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tor Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tor Minerals otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tor Minerals Intl entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tor Minerals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tor Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tor Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Tor Minerals stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Tor Minerals Investors Sentiment

The influence of Tor Minerals' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Tor Minerals. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tor Minerals in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tor Minerals' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tor Minerals options trading.

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Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tor Minerals to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Tor Minerals Intl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tor Minerals' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Tor Minerals OTC Stock analysis

When running Tor Minerals Intl price analysis, check to measure Tor Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tor Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Tor Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tor Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tor Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tor Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tor Minerals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tor Minerals. If investors know Tor Minerals will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tor Minerals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
9.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.1
Return On Assets
0.003
Return On Equity
-0.03
The market value of Tor Minerals Intl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tor Minerals that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tor Minerals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tor Minerals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tor Minerals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tor Minerals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tor Minerals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Tor Minerals value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tor Minerals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.