Shore Bancshares Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SHBI -  USA Stock  

USD 19.44  0.19  0.97%

Shore Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shore Bancshares historical stock prices and determine the direction of Shore Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Shore Bancshares historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shore Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.
  
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Most investors in Shore Bancshares cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Shore Bancshares' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Shore Bancshares' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Shore Bancshares is based on a synthetically constructed Shore Bancsharesdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Shore Bancshares 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shore Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 19.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.57. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shore Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shore Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shore Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shore Bancshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shore Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shore Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.71 and 20.83, respectively. We have considered Shore Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 19.44
19.77
Expected Value
20.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shore Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shore Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria79.8485
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2461
MADMean absolute deviation0.3797
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0192
SAESum of the absolute errors15.5675
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Shore Bancshares 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Shore Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shore Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shore Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Shore Bancshares in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
18.2619.3220.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
19.3020.3621.42
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0021.0022.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.521.521.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shore Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shore Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shore Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Shore Bancshares.

Other Forecasting Options for Shore Bancshares

For every potential investor in Shore, whether a beginner or expert, Shore Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shore Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shore. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shore Bancshares' price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shore Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shore Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shore Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Shore Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shore Bancshares' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shore Bancshares' current price.

Shore Bancshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shore Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shore Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shore Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shore Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shore Bancshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shore Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shore Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Shore Bancshares stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Shore Bancshares without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shore Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Shore Bancshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Shore Bancshares' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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When running Shore Bancshares price analysis, check to measure Shore Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shore Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Shore Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shore Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shore Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shore Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Shore Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shore Bancshares. If investors know Shore will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shore Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Shore Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shore that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shore Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shore Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shore Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shore Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shore Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Shore Bancshares value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shore Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.