Qualys Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Qualys Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Qualys historical stock prices and determine the direction of Qualys Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Qualys historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Qualys naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Qualys Inc systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Qualys fundamentals over time.
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Qualys PPandE Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Qualys reported last year PPandE Turnover of 6.49. As of 08/17/2022, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 4.48, while Accrued Expenses Turnover is likely to drop 12.53. . As of 08/17/2022, Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to grow to about 18.3 M, while Weighted Average Shares is likely to drop slightly above 32.8 M.
Most investors in Qualys cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Qualys' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Qualys' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Qualys is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Qualys Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Qualys Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Qualys. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Qualys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qualys Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qualys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Qualys in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.6533.0933.09
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
105.00132.38175.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.701.701.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qualys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qualys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qualys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Qualys Inc.

Qualys Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Qualys stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Qualys could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Qualys by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Amn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpKEURIG DR PEPPERGx Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanGARDNER DENVER INCUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian GoldAramark Holdings CorpLong-Term Govt BondLIFE STORAGE INCMaiden Holdings NorthVistra Energy CorpExxon Mobil Corp
 Risk & Return  Correlation
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Qualys in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Qualys' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Qualys options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Your Equity Center. Note that the Qualys Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Qualys' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Other Tools for Qualys Stock

When running Qualys Inc price analysis, check to measure Qualys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qualys is operating at the current time. Most of Qualys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qualys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qualys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qualys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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