IQ Hedge Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

QAI
 Etf
  

USD 29.70  0.14  0.47%   

IQ Hedge Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IQ Hedge historical stock prices and determine the direction of IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of IQ Hedge historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of IQ Hedge to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in IQ Hedge cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the IQ Hedge's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets IQ Hedge's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
IQ Hedge simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy prices get older.

IQ Hedge Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of August 2022

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy on the next trading day is expected to be 29.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.022742, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IQ Hedge Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IQ Hedge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IQ Hedge Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest IQ HedgeIQ Hedge Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

IQ Hedge Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IQ Hedge's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IQ Hedge's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.18 and 30.22, respectively. We have considered IQ Hedge's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 29.70
29.70
Expected Value
30.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IQ Hedge etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IQ Hedge etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4891
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0072
MADMean absolute deviation0.1112
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0038
SAESum of the absolute errors6.67
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent IQ Hedge observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for IQ Hedge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of IQ Hedge's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of IQ Hedge in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
29.1829.7030.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
29.0429.5630.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.2929.0429.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IQ Hedge. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IQ Hedge's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IQ Hedge's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy.

Other Forecasting Options for IQ Hedge

For every potential investor in IQ Hedge, whether a beginner or expert, IQ Hedge's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IQ Hedge Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IQ Hedge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IQ Hedge's price trends.

IQ Hedge Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IQ Hedge etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IQ Hedge could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IQ Hedge by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Total Stock MarketAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpKEURIG DR PEPPERGX Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanGARDNER DENVER INCUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian GoldAramark Holdings CorpLong-Term Govt BondLIFE STORAGE INCMaiden Holdings NorthVistra Energy Corp
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IQ Hedge's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IQ Hedge's current price.

IQ Hedge Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IQ Hedge etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IQ Hedge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IQ Hedge etf market strength indicators, traders can identify IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IQ Hedge Risk Indicators

The analysis of IQ Hedge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IQ Hedge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting IQ Hedge stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

IQ Hedge Investors Sentiment

The influence of IQ Hedge's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in IQ Hedge. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards IQ Hedge in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, IQ Hedge's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from IQ Hedge options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of IQ Hedge to cross-verify your projections. Note that the IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other IQ Hedge's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Complementary Tools for IQ Hedge Etf analysis

When running IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy price analysis, check to measure IQ Hedge's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IQ Hedge is operating at the current time. Most of IQ Hedge's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IQ Hedge's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IQ Hedge's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IQ Hedge to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Go
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Go
The market value of IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IQ Hedge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IQ Hedge's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IQ Hedge's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IQ Hedge's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IQ Hedge's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IQ Hedge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine IQ Hedge value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IQ Hedge's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.