PNC Bank Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PNC
 Stock
  

USD 170.79  2.71  1.56%   

PNC Bank Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PNC Bank historical stock prices and determine the direction of PNC Bank's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of PNC Bank historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although PNC Bank naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of PNC Bank systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PNC Bank fundamentals over time.
Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of PNC Bank to cross-verify your projections.
  
The current year Accrued Expenses Turnover is expected to grow to 4.19. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 0.23. PNC Bank Weighted Average Shares is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Weighted Average Shares was at 426 Million. The current year Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to grow to about 509.9 M, whereas Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is forecasted to decline to (2.3 B).

Open Interest Agains t 2022-08-19 PNC Bank Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PNC Bank's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest PNC Bank's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies PNC Bank stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PNC Bank's open interest, investors have to compare it to PNC Bank's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PNC Bank is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PNC Bank. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in PNC Bank cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the PNC Bank's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets PNC Bank's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for PNC Bank is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of PNC Bank value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

PNC Bank Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of August

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PNC Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 178.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.09, mean absolute percentage error of 14.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PNC Bank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PNC Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PNC Bank Stock Forecast Pattern

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PNC Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PNC Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PNC Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 176.54 and 179.83, respectively. We have considered PNC Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 170.79
176.54
Downside
178.18
Expected Value
179.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PNC Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PNC Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7511
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.0923
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0192
SAESum of the absolute errors188.6307
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of PNC Bank. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict PNC Bank. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for PNC Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PNC Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of PNC Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of PNC Bank in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
169.75171.39173.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
153.71180.03181.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
157.27166.77176.27
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
175.00218.31252.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PNC Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PNC Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PNC Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in PNC Bank.

Other Forecasting Options for PNC Bank

For every potential investor in PNC Bank, whether a beginner or expert, PNC Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PNC Bank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PNC Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PNC Bank's price trends.

PNC Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PNC Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PNC Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PNC Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Nasdaq IncPrincipal FinancialCharles SchwabState Street CorpT Rowe PriceWalmartCoca-ColaExxon Mobil CorpAlcoa CorpAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpKEURIG DR PEPPERGx Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual European
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PNC Bank Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PNC Bank's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PNC Bank's current price.

PNC Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of PNC Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PNC Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting PNC Bank stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in PNC Bank without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of PNC Bank to cross-verify your projections. Note that the PNC Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PNC Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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When running PNC Bank price analysis, check to measure PNC Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PNC Bank is operating at the current time. Most of PNC Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PNC Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PNC Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PNC Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is PNC Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PNC Bank. If investors know PNC Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PNC Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.39
Market Capitalization
71.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.16
Return On Assets
0.0105
Return On Equity
0.11
The market value of PNC Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PNC Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PNC Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PNC Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PNC Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PNC Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PNC Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine PNC Bank value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PNC Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.