Pioneer Flexible Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

PMARX
 Fund
  

USD 11.03  0.27  2.39%   

Pioneer Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pioneer Flexible historical stock prices and determine the direction of Pioneer Flexible Opportunities's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Pioneer Flexible historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pioneer Flexible to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Pioneer Flexible cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Pioneer Flexible's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Pioneer Flexible's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Pioneer Flexible is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Pioneer Flexible Opportunities value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Pioneer Flexible Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of September

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pioneer Flexible Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 10.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.013212, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pioneer Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pioneer Flexible's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pioneer Flexible Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Pioneer Flexible Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pioneer Flexible's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pioneer Flexible's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.16 and 11.82, respectively. We have considered Pioneer Flexible's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 11.03
10.99
Expected Value
11.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pioneer Flexible mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pioneer Flexible mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7839
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0919
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.008
SAESum of the absolute errors5.6072
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Pioneer Flexible Opportunities. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Pioneer Flexible. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Pioneer Flexible

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pioneer Flexible Opp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pioneer Flexible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pioneer Flexible in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.2211.0411.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.3411.1611.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8711.1811.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pioneer Flexible. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pioneer Flexible's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pioneer Flexible's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Pioneer Flexible Opp.

Other Forecasting Options for Pioneer Flexible

For every potential investor in Pioneer, whether a beginner or expert, Pioneer Flexible's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pioneer Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pioneer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pioneer Flexible's price trends.

Pioneer Flexible Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pioneer Flexible mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pioneer Flexible could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pioneer Flexible by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Bank Of AmericaAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGx Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanNatural Hlth TrdUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian GoldAramark Holdings CorpLong-Term Govt BondMaiden Holdings NorthSeagate Technology HldgsVistra Energy CorpExxon Mobil Corp
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pioneer Flexible Opp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pioneer Flexible's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pioneer Flexible's current price.

Pioneer Flexible Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pioneer Flexible mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pioneer Flexible shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pioneer Flexible mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Pioneer Flexible Opportunities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pioneer Flexible Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pioneer Flexible's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pioneer Flexible's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Pioneer Flexible stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Pioneer Flexible in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Pioneer Flexible's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Pioneer Flexible options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pioneer Flexible to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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When running Pioneer Flexible Opp price analysis, check to measure Pioneer Flexible's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pioneer Flexible is operating at the current time. Most of Pioneer Flexible's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pioneer Flexible's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pioneer Flexible's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pioneer Flexible to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Pioneer Flexible's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Pioneer Flexible value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pioneer Flexible's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.