Oracle Japan Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

OCLCF
 Stock
  

USD 59.58  0.27  0.46%   

Oracle Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Oracle Japan historical stock prices and determine the direction of Oracle Japan's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Oracle Japan historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oracle Japan to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Oracle Japan cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Oracle Japan's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Oracle Japan's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Oracle Japan is based on an artificially constructed time series of Oracle Japan daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Oracle Japan 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Oracle Japan on the next trading day is expected to be 58.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oracle Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oracle Japan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oracle Japan Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Oracle Japan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oracle Japan's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oracle Japan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.02 and 59.94, respectively. We have considered Oracle Japan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 59.58
58.98
Expected Value
59.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oracle Japan pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oracle Japan pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.1026
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3295
MADMean absolute deviation0.5481
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0096
SAESum of the absolute errors29.0513
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Oracle Japan 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Oracle Japan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle Japan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oracle Japan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oracle Japan in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
58.6259.5860.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
53.6265.8166.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.8457.5260.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oracle Japan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oracle Japan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oracle Japan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oracle Japan.

Other Forecasting Options for Oracle Japan

For every potential investor in Oracle, whether a beginner or expert, Oracle Japan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oracle Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oracle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oracle Japan's price trends.

Oracle Japan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oracle Japan pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oracle Japan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oracle Japan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Juniper NetworksATT IncBCE IncComcast CorpBT Group PlcAmrica Mvil SABAMN Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGlobal X NASDAQFRANKLIN MUTUAL EUROPEANBHP Group LimitedNatural Health TrendIShares MSCI USABetaPro Canadian Gold
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oracle Japan Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oracle Japan's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oracle Japan's current price.

Oracle Japan Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oracle Japan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oracle Japan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Oracle Japan stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Oracle Japan without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oracle Japan to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Oracle Japan information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oracle Japan's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Oracle Pink Sheet analysis

When running Oracle Japan price analysis, check to measure Oracle Japan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oracle Japan is operating at the current time. Most of Oracle Japan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oracle Japan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oracle Japan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oracle Japan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle Japan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oracle Japan value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle Japan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.