Oakmark Bond Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

OAZCX
 Fund
  

USD 8.83  0.02  0.23%   

Oakmark Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Oakmark Bond historical stock prices and determine the direction of Oakmark Bond's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Oakmark Bond historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oakmark Bond to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Oakmark Bond cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Oakmark Bond's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Oakmark Bond's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Oakmark Bond is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Oakmark Bond 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Oakmark Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 8.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.045129, mean absolute percentage error of 0.003267, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oakmark Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oakmark Bond's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oakmark Bond Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Oakmark Bond Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oakmark Bond's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oakmark Bond's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.39 and 9.27, respectively. We have considered Oakmark Bond's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 8.83
8.83
Expected Value
9.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oakmark Bond mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oakmark Bond mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.8729
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.0451
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors2.6175
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Oakmark Bond. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Oakmark Bond and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Oakmark Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oakmark Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oakmark Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oakmark Bond in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.000.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.000.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.438.678.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oakmark Bond. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oakmark Bond's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oakmark Bond's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oakmark Bond.

Other Forecasting Options for Oakmark Bond

For every potential investor in Oakmark, whether a beginner or expert, Oakmark Bond's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oakmark Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oakmark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oakmark Bond's price trends.

Oakmark Bond Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oakmark Bond mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oakmark Bond could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oakmark Bond by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Procter GambleScheid VineyardsBondbloxx ETF TrustFT Cboe VestAMN Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGlobal X NASDAQFRANKLIN MUTUAL EUROPEANBHP Group LimitedNatural Health TrendIShares MSCI USABetaPro Canadian GoldAramark HoldingsVanguard Long-Term
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oakmark Bond Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oakmark Bond's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oakmark Bond's current price.

Oakmark Bond Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oakmark Bond mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oakmark Bond shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oakmark Bond mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Oakmark Bond entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oakmark Bond Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oakmark Bond's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oakmark Bond's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Oakmark Bond stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Oakmark Bond in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Oakmark Bond's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Oakmark Bond options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Oakmark Bond using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oakmark Bond to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Oakmark Bond information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oakmark Bond's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Oakmark Mutual Fund analysis

When running Oakmark Bond price analysis, check to measure Oakmark Bond's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oakmark Bond is operating at the current time. Most of Oakmark Bond's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oakmark Bond's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oakmark Bond's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oakmark Bond to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oakmark Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oakmark Bond value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oakmark Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.