Natural Hlth Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

NHTC -  USA Stock  

USD 6.71  0.04  0.59%

Natural Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Natural Hlth historical stock prices and determine the direction of Natural Hlth Trd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Natural Hlth historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natural Hlth to cross-verify your projections.
  
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Open Interest Agains t 2022-06-17 Natural Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Natural Hlth's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Natural Hlth's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Natural Hlth stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Natural Hlth's open interest, investors have to compare it to Natural Hlth's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Natural Hlth is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Natural. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Natural Hlth cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Natural Hlth's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Natural Hlth's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Natural Hlth Trd is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Natural Hlth 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Natural Hlth Trd on the next trading day is expected to be 6.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.015717, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.93. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Natural Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Natural Hlth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Natural Hlth Stock Forecast Pattern

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Natural Hlth Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Natural Hlth's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Natural Hlth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.44 and 8.08, respectively. We have considered Natural Hlth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 6.71
6.76
Expected Value
8.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Natural Hlth stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Natural Hlth stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.606
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0094
MADMean absolute deviation0.1041
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0151
SAESum of the absolute errors5.9325
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Natural Hlth. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Natural Hlth Trd and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Natural Hlth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natural Hlth Trd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Hlth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Natural Hlth in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
5.386.708.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.486.808.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natural Hlth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natural Hlth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natural Hlth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Natural Hlth Trd.

Other Forecasting Options for Natural Hlth

For every potential investor in Natural, whether a beginner or expert, Natural Hlth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Natural Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Natural. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Natural Hlth's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Natural Hlth stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Natural Hlth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Hlth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Natural Hlth Trd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Natural Hlth's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Natural Hlth's current price.

Natural Hlth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Natural Hlth stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Natural Hlth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Natural Hlth stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Natural Hlth Trd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Natural Hlth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Natural Hlth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Natural Hlth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Natural Hlth stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Natural Hlth Investors Sentiment

The influence of Natural Hlth's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Natural. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Natural Hlth Implied Volatility

    
  39.63  
Natural Hlth's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Natural Hlth Trd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Natural Hlth's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Natural Hlth stock will not fluctuate a lot when Natural Hlth's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Natural Hlth in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Natural Hlth's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Natural Hlth options trading.

Current Sentiment - NHTC

Natural Hlth Trd Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Natural Hlth Trd. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Natural Hlth Trd? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Natural Hlth Trd using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natural Hlth to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Natural Hlth Trd information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natural Hlth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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When running Natural Hlth Trd price analysis, check to measure Natural Hlth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Hlth is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Hlth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Hlth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Hlth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Hlth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natural Hlth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Hlth. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Hlth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Natural Hlth Trd is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Hlth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Hlth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Hlth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Hlth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Hlth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natural Hlth value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Hlth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.