Miquel Y Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

MCM
 Stock
  

EUR 11.10  0.06  0.54%   

Miquel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Miquel Y historical stock prices and determine the direction of Miquel Y Costas's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Miquel Y historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Miquel Y to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Miquel Y cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Miquel Y's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Miquel Y's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Miquel Y works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Miquel Y Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Miquel Y Costas on the next trading day is expected to be 11.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.027141, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Miquel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Miquel Y's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Miquel Y Stock Forecast Pattern

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Miquel Y Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Miquel Y's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Miquel Y's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.70 and 12.54, respectively. We have considered Miquel Y's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 11.10
11.12
Expected Value
12.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Miquel Y stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Miquel Y stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.031
MADMean absolute deviation0.1181
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0108
SAESum of the absolute errors7.0879
When Miquel Y Costas prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Miquel Y Costas trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Miquel Y observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Miquel Y

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Miquel Y Costas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Miquel Y's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Miquel Y in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.6811.1012.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.6611.0812.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4910.8511.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Miquel Y. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Miquel Y's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Miquel Y's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Miquel Y Costas.

Other Forecasting Options for Miquel Y

For every potential investor in Miquel, whether a beginner or expert, Miquel Y's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Miquel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Miquel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Miquel Y's price trends.

Miquel Y Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Miquel Y stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Miquel Y could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Miquel Y by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
MapfreInternational ConsolidatedMiquel Y CostasInmobiliaria Del SurVidrala SAUrbas Grupo FinancieroAMN Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGlobal X NASDAQFRANKLIN MUTUAL EUROPEANBHP Group LimitedNatural Health TrendIShares MSCI USABetaPro Canadian Gold
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Miquel Y Costas Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Miquel Y's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Miquel Y's current price.

Miquel Y Risk Indicators

The analysis of Miquel Y's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Miquel Y's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Miquel Y stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Miquel Y in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Miquel Y's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Miquel Y options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Miquel Y Costas using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Miquel Y to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Miquel Y Costas price analysis, check to measure Miquel Y's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Miquel Y is operating at the current time. Most of Miquel Y's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Miquel Y's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Miquel Y's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Miquel Y to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Miquel Y's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Miquel Y value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Miquel Y's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.