Mcbc Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

MCFT
 Stock
  

USD 25.45  0.32  1.27%   

Mcbc Holdings Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mcbc Holdings historical stock prices and determine the direction of Mcbc Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Mcbc Holdings historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Mcbc Holdings naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Mcbc Holdings systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Mcbc Holdings fundamentals over time.
Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mcbc Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
  
Mcbc Holdings PPandE Turnover is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Mcbc Holdings reported PPandE Turnover of 11.58 in 2021. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 52.41 in 2022, whereas Accounts Payable Turnover is likely to drop 23.68 in 2022. . Weighted Average Shares is likely to drop to about 16.6 M in 2022. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to drop to about 16.8 M in 2022.

Open Interest Agains t 2022-12-16 Mcbc Holdings Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Mcbc Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Mcbc Holdings' options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Mcbc Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Mcbc Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Mcbc Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Mcbc Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Mcbc Holdings. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Mcbc Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Mcbc Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Mcbc Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Mcbc Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Mcbc Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Mcbc Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38, mean absolute percentage error of 2.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mcbc Holdings Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mcbc Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mcbc Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mcbc HoldingsMcbc Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mcbc Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mcbc Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mcbc Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.89 and 27.25, respectively. We have considered Mcbc Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 25.45
24.07
Expected Value
27.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mcbc Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mcbc Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0055
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.3786
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0632
SAESum of the absolute errors84.0928
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Mcbc Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Mcbc Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mcbc Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mcbc Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mcbc Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
21.8525.0528.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.6228.6831.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.4623.8526.24
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
30.0037.5045.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mcbc Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mcbc Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mcbc Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mcbc Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Mcbc Holdings

For every potential investor in Mcbc Holdings, whether a beginner or expert, Mcbc Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mcbc Holdings Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mcbc Holdings. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mcbc Holdings' price trends.

Mcbc Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mcbc Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mcbc Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mcbc Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Harley-DavidsonPolaris IndustriesBrunswick CorpThor IndustriesAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGx Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanBhp BillitonNatural Hlth TrdUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian GoldAramark Holdings CorpLong-Term Govt Bond
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mcbc Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mcbc Holdings' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mcbc Holdings' current price.

Mcbc Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mcbc Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mcbc Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mcbc Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mcbc Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mcbc Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mcbc Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mcbc Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Mcbc Holdings stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Mcbc Holdings Investors Sentiment

The influence of Mcbc Holdings' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Mcbc Holdings. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Mcbc Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Mcbc Holdings. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mcbc Holdings can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mcbc Holdings. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Mcbc Holdings' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Mcbc Holdings' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Mcbc Holdings' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Mcbc Holdings.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mcbc Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mcbc Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mcbc Holdings options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Mcbc Holdings using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Additionally, see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mcbc Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Mcbc Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mcbc Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for Mcbc Holdings Stock analysis

When running Mcbc Holdings price analysis, check to measure Mcbc Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mcbc Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Mcbc Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mcbc Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mcbc Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mcbc Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
Is Mcbc Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mcbc Holdings. If investors know Mcbc Holdings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mcbc Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.58) 
Market Capitalization
451.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.3
Return On Assets
0.26
Return On Equity
0.54
The market value of Mcbc Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mcbc Holdings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mcbc Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mcbc Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mcbc Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mcbc Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mcbc Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mcbc Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mcbc Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.