Coca Cola Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

KO
 Stock
  

USD 63.38  0.29  0.46%   

Coca Cola Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coca Cola historical stock prices and determine the direction of Coca-Cola's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Coca Cola historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Coca Cola naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Coca-Cola systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Coca Cola fundamentals over time.
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections.
  
Coca Cola Inventory Turnover is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Inventory Turnover is estimated at 5.47. Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to rise to 13.81 this year, although the value of PPandE Turnover will most likely fall to 3.40. . Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is expected to rise to about 637.7 M this year, although the value of Weighted Average Shares will most likely fall to about 4.1 B.

Open Interest Agains t 2022-08-12 Coca Cola Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Coca Cola's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Coca Cola's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Coca Cola stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Coca Cola's open interest, investors have to compare it to Coca Cola's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Coca Cola is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Coca Cola. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Coca Cola cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Coca Cola's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Coca Cola's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Coca Cola polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Coca-Cola as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Coca Cola Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of August

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Coca-Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 63.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca Cola Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca Cola's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coca Cola Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Coca ColaCoca Cola Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Coca Cola Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coca Cola's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca Cola's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 62.13 and 65.02, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 63.38
63.58
Expected Value
65.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca Cola stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca Cola stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5668
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9977
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors60.8568
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Coca Cola historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca-Cola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coca Cola's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Coca Cola in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
61.9363.3764.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
61.2962.7364.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.4463.2565.06
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
58.0062.6466.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coca Cola. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coca Cola's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coca Cola's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Coca-Cola.

Other Forecasting Options for Coca Cola

For every potential investor in Coca Cola, whether a beginner or expert, Coca Cola's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca Cola Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca Cola. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca Cola's price trends.

Coca Cola Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca Cola stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca Cola could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca Cola by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Starbucks CorpChevron CorpATT IncInternational BusinessHome DepotExxon Mobil CorpIntel CorpVerizon CommunicationsAmerican ExpressAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpKEURIG DR PEPPERGX Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual European
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coca-Cola Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coca Cola's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coca Cola's current price.

Coca Cola Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca Cola stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca Cola shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca Cola stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coca-Cola entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coca Cola's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca Cola's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Coca Cola stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Coca Cola Investors Sentiment

The influence of Coca Cola's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Coca Cola. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Coca Cola's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Coca Cola. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Coca Cola can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Coca-Cola. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Coca Cola's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Coca Cola's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Coca Cola's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Coca Cola.

Coca Cola Implied Volatility

    
  17.75  
Coca Cola's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Coca-Cola stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Coca Cola's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Coca Cola stock will not fluctuate a lot when Coca Cola's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Coca Cola in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Coca Cola's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Coca Cola options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Coca-Cola using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Coca-Cola information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Coca Cola's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for Coca Cola Stock analysis

When running Coca-Cola price analysis, check to measure Coca Cola's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coca Cola is operating at the current time. Most of Coca Cola's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coca Cola's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coca Cola's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coca Cola to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Go
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Is Coca Cola's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coca Cola. If investors know Coca Cola will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coca Cola listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.28
Market Capitalization
274.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.12
Return On Assets
0.081
Return On Equity
0.39
The market value of Coca-Cola is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coca Cola that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coca Cola's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coca Cola's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coca Cola's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coca Cola's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coca Cola's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Coca Cola value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coca Cola's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.