Koninklijke KPN OTC Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

KKPNY
 Stock
  

USD 2.97  0.03  1.00%   

Koninklijke OTC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Koninklijke KPN historical stock prices and determine the direction of Koninklijke KPN NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Koninklijke KPN historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Koninklijke KPN to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Koninklijke KPN cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Koninklijke KPN's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Koninklijke KPN's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Koninklijke KPN simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Koninklijke KPN NV are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Koninklijke KPN NV prices get older.

Koninklijke KPN Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Koninklijke KPN NV on the next trading day is expected to be 2.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.037541, mean absolute percentage error of 0.002316, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Koninklijke OTC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Koninklijke KPN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Koninklijke KPN OTC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Koninklijke KPN Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Koninklijke KPN's OTC Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Koninklijke KPN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.26 and 4.68, respectively. We have considered Koninklijke KPN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 2.97
2.97
Expected Value
4.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Koninklijke KPN otc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Koninklijke KPN otc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.0428
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0021
MADMean absolute deviation0.0375
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0134
SAESum of the absolute errors2.29
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Koninklijke KPN NV forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Koninklijke KPN observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Koninklijke KPN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke KPN NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Koninklijke KPN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Koninklijke KPN in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1.262.974.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.212.924.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Koninklijke KPN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Koninklijke KPN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Koninklijke KPN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Koninklijke KPN NV.

Other Forecasting Options for Koninklijke KPN

For every potential investor in Koninklijke, whether a beginner or expert, Koninklijke KPN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Koninklijke OTC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Koninklijke. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Koninklijke KPN's price trends.

Koninklijke KPN Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Koninklijke KPN otc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Koninklijke KPN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Koninklijke KPN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Verizon CommunicationsDupont De NemoursAMN Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGlobal X NASDAQFRANKLIN MUTUAL EUROPEANBHP Group LimitedNatural Health TrendIShares MSCI USAAramark HoldingsVanguard Long-TermSeagate Technology PLCVistra Energy CorpExxon Mobil Corp
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Koninklijke KPN NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Koninklijke KPN's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Koninklijke KPN's current price.

Koninklijke KPN Risk Indicators

The analysis of Koninklijke KPN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Koninklijke KPN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Koninklijke KPN stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Koninklijke KPN in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Koninklijke KPN's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Koninklijke KPN options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Koninklijke KPN NV using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Koninklijke KPN to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Koninklijke KPN NV price analysis, check to measure Koninklijke KPN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Koninklijke KPN is operating at the current time. Most of Koninklijke KPN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Koninklijke KPN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Koninklijke KPN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Koninklijke KPN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Koninklijke KPN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Koninklijke KPN value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Koninklijke KPN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.