Ipower Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IPW -  USA Stock  

USD 1.16  0.02  1.69%

Ipower Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ipower historical stock prices and determine the direction of Ipower Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Ipower historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Ipower naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Ipower Inc systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Ipower fundamentals over time.
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ipower to cross-verify your projections.
  
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Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 2.26 in 2022. Weighted Average Shares is likely to climb to about 24.6 M in 2022. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to climb to about 24.6 M in 2022.
Most investors in Ipower cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Ipower's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Ipower's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Ipower simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Ipower Inc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Ipower Inc prices get older.

Ipower Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ipower Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.008963, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.00. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ipower Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ipower's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ipower Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ipower Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ipower's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ipower's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0116 and 7.57, respectively. We have considered Ipower's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 1.16
0.0116
Downside
1.16
Expected Value
7.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ipower stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ipower stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5579
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0084
MADMean absolute deviation0.0666
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0442
SAESum of the absolute errors3.9985
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Ipower Inc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Ipower observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Ipower

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ipower Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ipower's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ipower in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.071.317.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.163.129.57
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
8.008.509.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.150.150.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ipower. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ipower's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ipower's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ipower Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for Ipower

For every potential investor in Ipower, whether a beginner or expert, Ipower's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ipower Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ipower. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ipower's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ipower stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ipower could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ipower by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Ipower Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ipower's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ipower's current price.

Ipower Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ipower stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ipower shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ipower stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ipower Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ipower Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ipower's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ipower's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Ipower stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Ipower without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ipower to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Ipower Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ipower's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Ipower Stock analysis

When running Ipower Inc price analysis, check to measure Ipower's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ipower is operating at the current time. Most of Ipower's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ipower's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ipower's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ipower to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ipower's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ipower. If investors know Ipower will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ipower listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ipower Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ipower that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ipower's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ipower's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ipower's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ipower's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ipower's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ipower value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ipower's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.