Intel Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

INTC
 Stock
  

USD 36.11  0.52  1.46%   

Intel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Intel Corp historical stock prices and determine the direction of Intel Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Intel Corp historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Intel Corp naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Intel Corp systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Intel Corp fundamentals over time.
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intel Corp to cross-verify your projections.
  
Intel Corp PPandE Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's PPandE Turnover was at 1.74. The current year Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 14.05, whereas Accounts Payable Turnover is forecasted to decline to 25.22. . As of August 13, 2022, Weighted Average Shares is expected to decline to about 4.5 B. In addition to that, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to decline to about 4.6 B.

Open Interest Agains t 2022-08-12 Intel Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Intel Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Intel Corp's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Intel Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Intel Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Intel Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Intel Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Intel. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Intel Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Intel Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Intel Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Intel Corp simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Intel Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Intel Corp prices get older.

Intel Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of August 2022

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intel Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intel Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intel Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intel Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intel Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intel Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.79 and 38.43, respectively. We have considered Intel Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 36.11
36.11
Expected Value
38.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intel Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intel Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0172
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0968
MADMean absolute deviation0.6388
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0166
SAESum of the absolute errors38.33
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Intel Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Intel Corp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Intel Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intel Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Intel Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
33.8336.1538.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
32.5042.0844.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.2137.2240.22
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0058.2985.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intel Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intel Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intel Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Intel Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Intel Corp

For every potential investor in Intel, whether a beginner or expert, Intel Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intel Corp's price trends.

Intel Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intel Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intel Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intel Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Alphabet Cl AAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpKEURIG DR PEPPERGX Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanGARDNER DENVER INCUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian GoldAramark Holdings CorpLong-Term Govt BondLIFE STORAGE INCMaiden Holdings NorthVistra Energy Corp
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intel Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intel Corp's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intel Corp's current price.

Intel Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intel Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intel Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intel Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intel Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intel Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intel Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intel Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Intel Corp stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Intel Corp without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intel Corp to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Intel Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Intel Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Intel Corp price analysis, check to measure Intel Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intel Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Intel Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intel Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intel Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intel Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Intel Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intel Corp. If investors know Intel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intel Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.42
Market Capitalization
146.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.22
Return On Assets
0.0492
Return On Equity
0.21
The market value of Intel Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intel Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intel Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intel Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intel Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Intel Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.