Informatica Inc Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

INFA -  USA Stock  

USD 21.91  1.30  6.31%

Informatica Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Informatica Inc historical stock prices and determine the direction of Informatica Inc Cl's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Informatica Inc historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Informatica Inc naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Informatica Inc Cl systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Informatica Inc fundamentals over time.
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Informatica Inc to cross-verify your projections.
  
Refresh
The current year Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.31. The current year Weighted Average Shares is expected to grow to about 276 M. The current year Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to grow to about 276 M.
Most investors in Informatica Inc cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Informatica Inc's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Informatica Inc's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Informatica Inc is based on an artificially constructed time series of Informatica Inc daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Informatica Inc 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of June

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Informatica Inc Cl on the next trading day is expected to be 19.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01, mean absolute percentage error of 1.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.42. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Informatica Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Informatica Inc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Informatica Inc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Informatica IncInformatica Inc Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Informatica Inc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Informatica Inc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Informatica Inc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.74 and 23.20, respectively. We have considered Informatica Inc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 21.91
19.47
Expected Value
23.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Informatica Inc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Informatica Inc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.854
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0392
MADMean absolute deviation1.008
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0515
SAESum of the absolute errors53.4225
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Informatica Inc Cl 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Informatica Inc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Informatica Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Informatica Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Informatica Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
18.3322.0625.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
19.7226.1329.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.6019.6721.75
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
37.0039.8942.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Informatica Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Informatica Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Informatica Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Informatica Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for Informatica Inc

For every potential investor in Informatica, whether a beginner or expert, Informatica Inc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Informatica Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Informatica. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Informatica Inc's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Informatica Inc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Informatica Inc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Informatica Inc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Informatica Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Informatica Inc's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Informatica Inc's current price.

Informatica Inc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Informatica Inc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Informatica Inc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Informatica Inc stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Informatica Inc Investors Sentiment

The influence of Informatica Inc's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Informatica. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Informatica Inc in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Informatica Inc's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Informatica Inc options trading.

Current Sentiment - INFA

Informatica Inc Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Informatica Inc Cl. What is your judgment towards investing in Informatica Inc Cl? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Informatica Inc using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Informatica Inc to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Informatica Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Informatica Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Complementary Tools for Informatica Stock analysis

When running Informatica Inc price analysis, check to measure Informatica Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Informatica Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Informatica Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Informatica Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Informatica Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Informatica Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Is Informatica Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Informatica Inc. If investors know Informatica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Informatica Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
5.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.086
Return On Assets
0.0062
Return On Equity
-0.0636
The market value of Informatica Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Informatica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Informatica Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Informatica Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Informatica Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Informatica Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Informatica Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Informatica Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Informatica Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.