Informatica Inc Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

INFA
 Stock
  

USD 20.43  0.34  1.64%   

Informatica Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Informatica Inc historical stock prices and determine the direction of Informatica Inc Cl's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Informatica Inc historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Informatica Inc naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Informatica Inc Cl systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Informatica Inc fundamentals over time.
Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Informatica Inc to cross-verify your projections.
  
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The current year Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.31. The current year Weighted Average Shares is expected to grow to about 276 M. The current year Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to grow to about 276 M.
Most investors in Informatica Inc cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Informatica Inc's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Informatica Inc's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Informatica Inc is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Informatica Inc Cl value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Informatica Inc Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of July

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Informatica Inc Cl on the next trading day is expected to be 21.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 0.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.44. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Informatica Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Informatica Inc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Informatica Inc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Informatica IncInformatica Inc Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Informatica Inc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Informatica Inc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Informatica Inc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.01 and 25.44, respectively. We have considered Informatica Inc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 20.43
21.72
Expected Value
25.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Informatica Inc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Informatica Inc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0492
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8104
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0416
SAESum of the absolute errors49.4361
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Informatica Inc Cl. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Informatica Inc. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Informatica Inc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Informatica Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Informatica Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Informatica Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.7820.4924.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
18.3925.2028.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.5419.6921.84
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
37.0039.8942.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Informatica Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Informatica Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Informatica Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Informatica Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for Informatica Inc

For every potential investor in Informatica, whether a beginner or expert, Informatica Inc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Informatica Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Informatica. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Informatica Inc's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Informatica Inc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Informatica Inc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Informatica Inc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Informatica Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Informatica Inc's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Informatica Inc's current price.

Informatica Inc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Informatica Inc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Informatica Inc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Informatica Inc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Informatica Inc Cl entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Informatica Inc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Informatica Inc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Informatica Inc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Informatica Inc stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Informatica Inc Investors Sentiment

The influence of Informatica Inc's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Informatica. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Informatica Inc in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Informatica Inc's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Informatica Inc options trading.

Current Sentiment - INFA

Informatica Inc Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Informatica Inc Cl. What is your judgment towards investing in Informatica Inc Cl? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

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Please see Historical Fundamental Analysis of Informatica Inc to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Informatica Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Informatica Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Shere Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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Is Informatica Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Informatica Inc. If investors know Informatica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Informatica Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
5.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.086
Return On Assets
0.0062
Return On Equity
-0.0636
The market value of Informatica Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Informatica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Informatica Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Informatica Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Informatica Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Informatica Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Informatica Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Informatica Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Informatica Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.