FNB Corp Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

FNB -  USA Stock  

USD 11.16  0.35  3.24%

FNB Corp Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FNB Corp historical stock prices and determine the direction of FNB Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of FNB Corp historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although FNB Corp naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of FNB Corp systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of FNB Corp fundamentals over time.
Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of FNB Corp to cross-verify your projections.
  
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FNB Corp Cash and Equivalents Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Cash and Equivalents Turnover was at 1.65. The current year Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.032, whereas PPandE Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.81. . As of June 26, 2022, Weighted Average Shares is expected to decline to about 304.7 M. In addition to that, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to decline to about 244.6 M.

Open Interest Agains t 2022-07-15 FNB Corp Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast FNB Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest FNB Corp's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies FNB Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current FNB Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to FNB Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of FNB Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in FNB Corp. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in FNB Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the FNB Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets FNB Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for FNB Corp is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

FNB Corp Current Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to FNB Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in FNB Corp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FNB Corp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FNB Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
FNB Corp's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for FNB Corp's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average FNB Corp's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on FNB Corp.

FNB Corp 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of June

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FNB Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.64. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FNB Corp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FNB Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FNB Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FNB CorpFNB Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

FNB Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FNB Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FNB Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.22 and 12.82, respectively. We have considered FNB Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 11.16
11.02
Expected Value
12.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FNB Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FNB Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.3168
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0551
MADMean absolute deviation0.2393
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0207
SAESum of the absolute errors13.6375
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of FNB Corp. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for FNB Corp and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for FNB Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FNB Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FNB Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FNB Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.2911.0912.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.1112.9114.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4311.4212.42
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.0014.4415.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FNB Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FNB Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FNB Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FNB Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for FNB Corp

For every potential investor in FNB Corp, whether a beginner or expert, FNB Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FNB Corp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FNB Corp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FNB Corp's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FNB Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FNB Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FNB Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

FNB Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FNB Corp's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FNB Corp's current price.

FNB Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of FNB Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FNB Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting FNB Corp stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

FNB Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of FNB Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in FNB Corp. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

FNB Corp Implied Volatility

    
  34.39  
FNB Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FNB Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FNB Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FNB Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when FNB Corp's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FNB Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, FNB Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from FNB Corp options trading.

Current Sentiment - FNB

FNB Corp Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on FNB Corp. What is your opinion about investing in FNB Corp? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of FNB Corp to cross-verify your projections. Note that the FNB Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FNB Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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When running FNB Corp price analysis, check to measure FNB Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FNB Corp is operating at the current time. Most of FNB Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FNB Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FNB Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FNB Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FNB Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FNB Corp. If investors know FNB Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FNB Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.47
Market Capitalization
3.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.019
Return On Assets
0.0091
Return On Equity
0.0701
The market value of FNB Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FNB Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FNB Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FNB Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FNB Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FNB Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FNB Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine FNB Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FNB Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.