Clearsign Combustion Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CLIR
 Stock
  

USD 1.26  0.05  4.13%   

Clearsign Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Clearsign Combustion historical stock prices and determine the direction of Clearsign Combustion's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Clearsign Combustion historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Clearsign Combustion naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Clearsign Combustion systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Clearsign Combustion fundamentals over time.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearsign Combustion to cross-verify your projections.
  
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Clearsign Combustion PPandE Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Clearsign Combustion reported last year PPandE Turnover of 1.51. As of 07/01/2022, Accrued Expenses Turnover is likely to grow to 0.82, while Accounts Payable Turnover is likely to drop 0.57. . As of 07/01/2022, Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to grow to about 8.2 M, while Weighted Average Shares is likely to drop slightly above 25.9 M.

Open Interest Agains t 2022-07-15 Clearsign Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Clearsign Combustion's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Clearsign Combustion's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Clearsign Combustion stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Clearsign Combustion's open interest, investors have to compare it to Clearsign Combustion's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Clearsign Combustion is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Clearsign. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Clearsign Combustion cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Clearsign Combustion's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Clearsign Combustion's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Clearsign Combustion is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Clearsign Combustion value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Clearsign Combustion Current Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Clearsign Combustion's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Clearsign. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Clearsign can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Clearsign Combustion. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Clearsign Combustion's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Clearsign Combustion's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Clearsign Combustion's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Clearsign Combustion.

Clearsign Combustion Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of July

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Clearsign Combustion on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.004015, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.16. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clearsign Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clearsign Combustion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Clearsign Combustion Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Clearsign CombustionClearsign Combustion Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Clearsign Combustion Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Clearsign Combustion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clearsign Combustion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0126 and 5.90, respectively. We have considered Clearsign Combustion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 1.26
0.0126
Downside
1.25
Expected Value
5.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clearsign Combustion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clearsign Combustion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.5927
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0517
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0408
SAESum of the absolute errors3.1551
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Clearsign Combustion. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Clearsign Combustion. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Clearsign Combustion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearsign Combustion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clearsign Combustion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Clearsign Combustion in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.061.275.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.122.467.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.061.271.47
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
6.006.006.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Clearsign Combustion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Clearsign Combustion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Clearsign Combustion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Clearsign Combustion.

Other Forecasting Options for Clearsign Combustion

For every potential investor in Clearsign, whether a beginner or expert, Clearsign Combustion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clearsign Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clearsign. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clearsign Combustion's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clearsign Combustion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clearsign Combustion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clearsign Combustion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Clearsign Combustion Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Clearsign Combustion's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Clearsign Combustion's current price.

Clearsign Combustion Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clearsign Combustion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clearsign Combustion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clearsign Combustion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Clearsign Combustion entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Clearsign Combustion Risk Indicators

The analysis of Clearsign Combustion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clearsign Combustion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Clearsign Combustion stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Clearsign Combustion Investors Sentiment

The influence of Clearsign Combustion's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Clearsign. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Clearsign Combustion Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Clearsign Combustion's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Clearsign Combustion stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Clearsign Combustion's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Clearsign Combustion stock will not fluctuate a lot when Clearsign Combustion's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Clearsign Combustion in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Clearsign Combustion's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Clearsign Combustion options trading.

Current Sentiment - CLIR

Clearsign Combustion Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Clearsign Combustion. What is your opinion about investing in Clearsign Combustion? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

Pair Trading with Clearsign Combustion

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Clearsign Combustion position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Clearsign Combustion will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Clearsign Combustion Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Clearsign Combustion could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Clearsign Combustion when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Clearsign Combustion - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Clearsign Combustion to buy it.
The correlation of Clearsign Combustion is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Clearsign Combustion moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Clearsign Combustion moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Clearsign Combustion can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearsign Combustion to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Clearsign Combustion information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Clearsign Combustion's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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Is Clearsign Combustion's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clearsign Combustion. If investors know Clearsign will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clearsign Combustion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
42.9 M
Return On Assets
-0.43
Return On Equity
-0.76
The market value of Clearsign Combustion is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clearsign that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clearsign Combustion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clearsign Combustion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clearsign Combustion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clearsign Combustion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clearsign Combustion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Clearsign Combustion value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clearsign Combustion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.