Bed Bath Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BBBY
 Stock
  

USD 6.75  0.25  3.57%   

Bed Bath Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bed Bath historical stock prices and determine the direction of Bed Bath Beyond's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Bed Bath historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Bed Bath naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Bed Bath Beyond systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bed Bath fundamentals over time.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bed Bath to cross-verify your projections.
  
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Bed Bath Inventory Turnover is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Bed Bath reported Inventory Turnover of 3.17 in 2021. Accounts Payable Turnover is likely to rise to 10.25 in 2022, whereas PPandE Turnover is likely to drop 7.86 in 2022. . Bed Bath Weighted Average Shares is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Bed Bath reported Weighted Average Shares of 99.25 Million in 2021. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to rise to about 117.7 M in 2022, despite the fact that Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to grow to (361.5 M).

Open Interest Agains t 2022-07-01 Bed Bath Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bed Bath's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Bed Bath's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Bed Bath stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bed Bath's open interest, investors have to compare it to Bed Bath's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bed Bath is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bed Bath. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Bed Bath cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Bed Bath's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Bed Bath's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Bed Bath is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Bed Bath Beyond Current Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Bed Bath's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Bed Bath. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bed Bath can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bed Bath Beyond. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Bed Bath's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Bed Bath's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Bed Bath's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Bed Bath.

Bed Bath Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of June

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bed Bath Beyond on the next trading day is expected to be 6.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.01. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bed Bath Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bed Bath's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bed Bath Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bed BathBed Bath Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bed Bath Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bed Bath's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bed Bath's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.45 and 12.30, respectively. We have considered Bed Bath's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 6.75
6.88
Expected Value
12.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bed Bath stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bed Bath stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9592
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4009
MADMean absolute deviation0.6274
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0552
SAESum of the absolute errors37.015
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Bed Bath Beyond price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Bed Bath. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting stock prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Bed Bath

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bed Bath Beyond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bed Bath's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bed Bath in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.244.8410.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.929.3514.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.8610.4414.02
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
8.0016.6833.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bed Bath. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bed Bath's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bed Bath's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bed Bath Beyond.

Other Forecasting Options for Bed Bath

For every potential investor in Bed Bath, whether a beginner or expert, Bed Bath's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bed Bath Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bed Bath. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bed Bath's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bed Bath stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bed Bath could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bed Bath by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Bed Bath Beyond Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bed Bath's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bed Bath's current price.

Bed Bath Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bed Bath stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bed Bath shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bed Bath stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bed Bath Beyond entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bed Bath Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bed Bath's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bed Bath's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Bed Bath stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Bed Bath Investors Sentiment

The influence of Bed Bath's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Bed Bath. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Bed Bath Implied Volatility

    
  207.66  
Bed Bath's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bed Bath Beyond stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bed Bath's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bed Bath stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bed Bath's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bed Bath in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bed Bath's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bed Bath options trading.

Current Sentiment - BBBY

Bed Bath Beyond Investor Sentiment

Majority of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Bed Bath Beyond. What is your opinion about investing in Bed Bath Beyond? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

Pair Trading with Bed Bath

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bed Bath position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bed Bath will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Bed Bath Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bed Bath could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bed Bath when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bed Bath - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bed Bath Beyond to buy it.
The correlation of Bed Bath is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bed Bath moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bed Bath Beyond moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bed Bath can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bed Bath to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bed Bath Beyond information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bed Bath's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Bed Bath Beyond price analysis, check to measure Bed Bath's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bed Bath is operating at the current time. Most of Bed Bath's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bed Bath's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bed Bath's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bed Bath to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bed Bath's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bed Bath. If investors know Bed Bath will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bed Bath listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
559.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.22
Return On Assets
-0.0086
Return On Equity
-0.77
The market value of Bed Bath Beyond is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bed Bath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bed Bath's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bed Bath's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bed Bath's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bed Bath's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bed Bath's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bed Bath value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bed Bath's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.