BRASIL ON Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

BBAS3
  

BRL 38.98  0.99  2.48%   

BRASIL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BRASIL ON historical stock prices and determine the direction of BRASIL ON NM's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of BRASIL ON historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of BRASIL ON to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in BRASIL ON cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the BRASIL ON's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets BRASIL ON's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for BRASIL ON is based on an artificially constructed time series of BRASIL ON daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

BRASIL ON 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of August 2022

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BRASIL ON NM on the next trading day is expected to be 38.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BRASIL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BRASIL ON's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BRASIL ON Stock Forecast Pattern

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BRASIL ON Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BRASIL ON's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BRASIL ON's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.62 and 39.64, respectively. We have considered BRASIL ON's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 38.98
38.13
Expected Value
39.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BRASIL ON stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BRASIL ON stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.4401
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1615
MADMean absolute deviation0.8743
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0246
SAESum of the absolute errors47.2125
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. BRASIL ON NM 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for BRASIL ON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BRASIL ON NM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BRASIL ON's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BRASIL ON in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
37.4738.9840.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
35.0844.3745.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.6938.3140.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BRASIL ON. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BRASIL ON's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BRASIL ON's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in BRASIL ON NM.

Other Forecasting Options for BRASIL ON

For every potential investor in BRASIL, whether a beginner or expert, BRASIL ON's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BRASIL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BRASIL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BRASIL ON's price trends.

BRASIL ON Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BRASIL ON stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BRASIL ON could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BRASIL ON by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Amn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpKEURIG DR PEPPERGX Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanGARDNER DENVER INCUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian GoldAramark Holdings CorpLong-Term Govt BondLIFE STORAGE INCMaiden Holdings NorthVistra Energy CorpExxon Mobil Corp
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BRASIL ON NM Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BRASIL ON's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BRASIL ON's current price.

BRASIL ON Risk Indicators

The analysis of BRASIL ON's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BRASIL ON's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting BRASIL ON stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

BRASIL ON Investors Sentiment

The influence of BRASIL ON's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in BRASIL. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BRASIL ON in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BRASIL ON's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BRASIL ON options trading.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of BRASIL ON to cross-verify your projections. Note that the BRASIL ON NM information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BRASIL ON's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for BRASIL Stock analysis

When running BRASIL ON NM price analysis, check to measure BRASIL ON's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BRASIL ON is operating at the current time. Most of BRASIL ON's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BRASIL ON's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BRASIL ON's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BRASIL ON to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between BRASIL ON's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine BRASIL ON value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BRASIL ON's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.