American Express Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

AXP
 Stock
  

USD 154.12  0.65  0.42%   

American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast American Express historical stock prices and determine the direction of American Express's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of American Express historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although American Express naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of American Express systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of American Express fundamentals over time.
Please continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Express to cross-verify your projections.
  
American Express PPandE Turnover is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. American Express reported last year PPandE Turnover of 8.73. As of 9th of December 2022, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 0.89, while Accounts Payable Turnover is likely to drop 2.56. . American Express Weighted Average Shares is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. American Express reported last year Weighted Average Shares of 789 Million. As of 9th of December 2022, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to grow to about 983.6 M, while Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to drop (7.8 B).

Open Interest Agains t 2022-12-09 American Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Express' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest American Express' options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies American Express stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Express' open interest, investors have to compare it to American Express' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Express is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American Express has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.
Most investors in American Express cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the American Express' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets American Express' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which American Express is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of American Express to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by American Express trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
  Previous Accumulation DistributionAccumulation DistributionTrend
41089.780
Check American Express VolatilityBacktest American ExpressInformation Ratio  

American Express Trading Date Momentum

On December 08 2022 American Express was traded for  154.12  at the closing time. Highest American Express's price during the trading hours was 156.42  and the lowest price during the day was  153.45 . The net volume was 1.6 M. The overall trading history on the 8th of December did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.15% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare American Express to competition

Other Forecasting Options for American Express

For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Express' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Express' price trends.

American Express Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Express stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Express could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Express by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
HP IncJPMorgan ChaseWalt DisneyWalmartJohnson JohnsonMicrosoftBoeingCisco SystemsHome DepotAMN Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGlobal X NASDAQFRANKLIN MUTUAL EUROPEANBHP Group Limited
 Risk & Return  Correlation

American Express Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Express' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Express' current price.

American Express Risk Indicators

The analysis of American Express' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Express' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting American Express stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

American Express Investors Sentiment

The influence of American Express' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in American. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to American Express' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Express. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
American Express' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for American Express' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average American Express' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on American Express.

American Express Implied Volatility

    
  34.23  
American Express' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Express stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Express' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Express stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Express' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards American Express in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, American Express' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from American Express options trading.

Pair Trading with American Express

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Express will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with American Express

+0.92BKBank of New York Sell-off TrendPairCorr
+0.85BLKBlackRock Fiscal Year End 13th of January 2023 PairCorr
+0.78JEFJefferies Financial Fiscal Year End 11th of January 2023 PairCorr
+0.86UBSUBS Group AG Sell-off TrendPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Express could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Express when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Express - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Express to buy it.
The correlation of American Express is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Express moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Express moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Express can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Express to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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When running American Express price analysis, check to measure American Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Express is operating at the current time. Most of American Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Express' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Express. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.089
Market Capitalization
115.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.149
Return On Assets
0.0384
Return On Equity
31.15
The market value of American Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Express value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.