Arbe Robotics Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ARBE
 Stock
  

USD 4.05  0.10  2.41%   

Arbe Robotics Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Arbe Robotics historical stock prices and determine the direction of Arbe Robotics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Arbe Robotics historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Arbe Robotics to cross-verify your projections.
  

Open Interest Agains t 2022-12-16 Arbe Robotics Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Arbe Robotics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Arbe Robotics' options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Arbe Robotics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Arbe Robotics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Arbe Robotics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Arbe Robotics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Arbe Robotics. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Arbe Robotics cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Arbe Robotics' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Arbe Robotics' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Arbe Robotics - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Arbe Robotics prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Arbe Robotics price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Arbe Robotics.

Arbe Robotics Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Arbe Robotics on the next trading day is expected to be 4.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.040774, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arbe Robotics Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arbe Robotics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Arbe Robotics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Arbe RoboticsArbe Robotics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Arbe Robotics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Arbe Robotics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Arbe Robotics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.46 and 7.53, respectively. We have considered Arbe Robotics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 4.05
4.00
Expected Value
7.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arbe Robotics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arbe Robotics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0268
MADMean absolute deviation0.1456
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.027
SAESum of the absolute errors8.5913
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Arbe Robotics observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Arbe Robotics observations.

Predictive Modules for Arbe Robotics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arbe Robotics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arbe Robotics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Arbe Robotics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.694.227.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.977.5011.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.844.575.31
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
15.0018.0020.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arbe Robotics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arbe Robotics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arbe Robotics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Arbe Robotics.

Other Forecasting Options for Arbe Robotics

For every potential investor in Arbe Robotics, whether a beginner or expert, Arbe Robotics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Arbe Robotics Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Arbe Robotics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Arbe Robotics' price trends.

Arbe Robotics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Arbe Robotics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Arbe Robotics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arbe Robotics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Vmware IncSynopsysVerisignOracle CorpAdobe SystemsMicrosoft CorpAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGx Nasdaq-100 CoveredFranklin Mutual EuropeanBhp BillitonNatural Hlth TrdUSA Value FactorBetapro Canadian Gold
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Arbe Robotics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Arbe Robotics' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Arbe Robotics' current price.

Arbe Robotics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arbe Robotics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arbe Robotics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Arbe Robotics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Arbe Robotics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Arbe Robotics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Arbe Robotics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arbe Robotics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Arbe Robotics stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Arbe Robotics Investors Sentiment

The influence of Arbe Robotics' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Arbe Robotics. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Arbe Robotics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Arbe Robotics. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Arbe Robotics can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Arbe Robotics. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Arbe Robotics' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Arbe Robotics' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Arbe Robotics' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Arbe Robotics.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Arbe Robotics in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Arbe Robotics' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Arbe Robotics options trading.

Pair Trading with Arbe Robotics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Arbe Robotics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arbe Robotics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Arbe Robotics

+0.84CRWDCrowdstrike Holdings Earnings Call  This WeekPairCorr

Moving against Arbe Robotics

-0.8SGMLSigma Lithium Corp Downward RallyPairCorr
-0.75WMTWalmart TrendingPairCorr
-0.73TWTRTwitter DelistingPairCorr
-0.69MRNAModerna Potential GrowthPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Arbe Robotics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Arbe Robotics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Arbe Robotics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Arbe Robotics to buy it.
The correlation of Arbe Robotics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Arbe Robotics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Arbe Robotics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Arbe Robotics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Arbe Robotics to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Arbe Robotics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arbe Robotics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Arbe Robotics price analysis, check to measure Arbe Robotics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arbe Robotics is operating at the current time. Most of Arbe Robotics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arbe Robotics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arbe Robotics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arbe Robotics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Arbe Robotics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arbe Robotics. If investors know Arbe Robotics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arbe Robotics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
255.7 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.0
Return On Assets
(0.77) 
Return On Equity
(5.24) 
The market value of Arbe Robotics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arbe Robotics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arbe Robotics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arbe Robotics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arbe Robotics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arbe Robotics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arbe Robotics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Arbe Robotics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arbe Robotics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.