1inch Crypto Coin Forecast - Naive Prediction

1INCH
  

USD 0.58  0.01  1.69%   

1inch Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 1inch historical crypto prices and determine the direction of 1inch's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of 1inch historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Please continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1inch to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in 1inch cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the 1inch's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets 1inch's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for 1inch is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of 1inch value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

1inch Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of 1inch on the next trading day is expected to be 0.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.029674, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00149, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 1inch Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 1inch's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

1inch Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

1inch Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 1inch's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 1inch's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0058 and 6.13, respectively. We have considered 1inch's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 0.58
0.0058
Downside
0.54
Expected Value
6.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 1inch crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 1inch crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6014
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0297
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0429
SAESum of the absolute errors1.8101
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of 1inch. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict 1inch. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for 1inch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1inch. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1inch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of 1inch in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.030.586.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.030.556.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.590.630.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1inch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1inch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1inch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in 1inch.

Other Forecasting Options for 1inch

For every potential investor in 1inch, whether a beginner or expert, 1inch's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 1inch Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 1inch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 1inch's price trends.

1inch Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 1inch crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 1inch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 1inch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
XRPSolanaPolkadotChainlinkPolygonFTX TokenAvalancheUniswap Protocol TokenDaiStaked EtherTRONAmn Healthcare ServicesTwist Bioscience CorpFreedom Holding CorpGx Nasdaq-100 Covered
 Risk & Return  Correlation

1inch Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 1inch's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 1inch's current price.

1inch Risk Indicators

The analysis of 1inch's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 1inch's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting 1inch stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some cryptocurrency investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. However, unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 1inch in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the crypto's market sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools provided by cryptocurrency exchanges to gauge market sentiment could be utilized to time the market in a somewhat predictable way.

Thematic Opportunities

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Please continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1inch to cross-verify your projections. Note that the 1inch information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other 1inch's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Other Tools for 1inch Crypto Coin

When running 1inch price analysis, check to measure 1inch's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1inch is operating at the current time. Most of 1inch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of 1inch's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1inch's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding 1inch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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