United Parcel Earnings Estimate

UPS
 Stock
  

USD 182.52  0.32  0.17%   

Many public companies, such as United Parcel, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing United Parcel's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across United Parcel's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
United Parcel is projected to generate 11.61 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. United Parcel earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected United Parcel Service EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Also, please take a look at World Market Map.
  
As of 11/26/2022, Profit Margin is likely to grow to 14.29, while Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 45.8 B.

United Parcel Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of United Parcel Service is based on official Zacks consensus of 9 analysts regarding United Parcel future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 90.31%, the future earnings per share of United Parcel is estimated to be 11.61 with the lowest and highest values of 11.35 and 11.78, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for United Parcel Service is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 12.76
11.35
Lowest
Expected EPS 11.61
11.78
Highest

United Parcel Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of United Parcel's value are higher than the current market price of the United Parcel stock. In this case, investors may conclude that United Parcel is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and United Parcel's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

9

90.31%

12.76

11.61

United Parcel Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of United Parcel refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering United Parcel Service predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of United Parcel, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

United Parcel Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as United Parcel, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of United Parcel should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

United Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact United Parcel's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-10-25
2022-09-302.842.990.15
2022-07-26
2022-06-303.163.290.13
2022-04-26
2022-03-312.883.050.17
2022-02-01
2021-12-313.13.590.4915 
2021-10-26
2021-09-302.552.710.16
2021-07-27
2021-06-302.823.060.24
2021-04-27
2021-03-311.722.771.0561 
2021-02-02
2020-12-312.142.660.5224 
2020-10-28
2020-09-301.92.280.3820 
2020-07-30
2020-06-301.072.131.0699 
2020-04-28
2020-03-311.231.15-0.08
2020-01-30
2019-12-312.112.110
2019-10-22
2019-09-302.062.070.01
2019-07-24
2019-06-301.931.960.03
2019-04-25
2019-03-311.421.39-0.03
2019-01-31
2018-12-311.91.940.04
2018-10-24
2018-09-301.821.820
2018-07-25
2018-06-301.931.940.01
2018-04-26
2018-03-311.541.550.01
2018-02-01
2017-12-311.661.670.01
2017-10-26
2017-09-301.451.450
2017-07-27
2017-06-301.471.580.11
2017-04-27
2017-03-311.291.320.03
2017-01-31
2016-12-311.691.63-0.06
2016-10-27
2016-09-301.441.440
2016-07-29
2016-06-301.431.430
2016-04-28
2016-03-311.221.270.05
2016-02-02
2015-12-311.421.570.1510 
2015-10-27
2015-09-301.371.390.02
2015-07-28
2015-06-301.261.350.09
2015-04-28
2015-03-311.091.120.03
2015-02-03
2014-12-311.251.250
2014-10-24
2014-09-301.281.320.04
2014-07-29
2014-06-301.251.21-0.04
2014-04-24
2014-03-311.080.98-0.1
2014-01-30
2013-12-311.251.250
2013-10-25
2013-09-301.151.160.01
2013-07-23
2013-06-301.131.130
2013-04-25
2013-03-311.011.040.03
2013-01-31
2012-12-311.381.32-0.06
2012-10-23
2012-09-301.061.060
2012-07-24
2012-06-301.171.15-0.02
2012-04-26
2012-03-311.021-0.02
2012-01-31
2011-12-311.261.280.02
2011-10-25
2011-09-301.051.060.01
2011-07-26
2011-06-301.041.050.01
2011-04-26
2011-03-310.850.880.03
2011-02-01
2010-12-311.051.080.03
2010-10-21
2010-09-300.880.930.05
2010-07-22
2010-06-300.770.840.07
2010-04-27
2010-03-310.580.710.1322 
2010-02-02
2009-12-310.740.750.01
2009-10-22
2009-09-300.520.550.03
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.490.490
2009-04-23
2009-03-310.560.52-0.04
2009-02-03
2008-12-310.850.83-0.02
2008-10-23
2008-09-300.890.960.07
2008-07-22
2008-06-300.850.850
2008-04-23
2008-03-310.870.870
2008-01-30
2007-12-311.131.130
2007-10-23
2007-09-301.021.050.03
2007-07-24
2007-06-301.031.040.01
2007-04-25
2007-03-310.960.960
2007-01-30
2006-12-311.041.040
2006-10-19
2006-09-300.90.960.06
2006-07-25
2006-06-3010.97-0.03
2006-04-20
2006-03-310.880.890.01
2006-01-26
2005-12-310.960.95-0.01
2005-10-20
2005-09-300.860.860
2005-07-21
2005-06-300.860.880.02
2005-04-21
2005-03-310.730.780.05
2005-01-27
2004-12-310.760.760
2004-10-21
2004-09-300.720.7-0.02
2004-07-22
2004-06-300.710.720.01
2004-04-22
2004-03-310.620.670.05
2004-01-29
2003-12-310.690.70.01
2003-10-21
2003-09-300.60.620.02
2003-07-22
2003-06-300.590.610.02
2003-04-22
2003-03-310.510.520.01
2003-01-28
2002-12-310.570.590.02
2002-10-22
2002-09-300.540.51-0.03
2002-07-12
2002-06-300.540.540
2002-04-18
2002-03-310.470.50.03
2002-01-29
2001-12-310.50.570.0714 
2001-10-18
2001-09-300.460.50.04
2001-07-19
2001-06-300.540.550.01
2001-04-19
2001-03-310.50.510.01
2001-01-30
2000-12-310.610.630.02
2000-10-19
2000-09-300.580.60.02
2000-07-20
2000-06-300.60.60
2000-04-20
2000-03-310.530.560.03
2000-01-31
1999-12-310.550.560.01

About United Parcel Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of United Parcel earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current United Parcel estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as United Parcel fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

United Parcel Investors Sentiment

The influence of United Parcel's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in United. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to United Parcel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in United. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding United can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around United Parcel Service. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
United Parcel's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for United Parcel's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average United Parcel's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on United Parcel.

United Parcel Implied Volatility

    
  26.52  
United Parcel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United Parcel Service stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United Parcel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United Parcel stock will not fluctuate a lot when United Parcel's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards United Parcel in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, United Parcel's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from United Parcel options trading.

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Is United Parcel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Parcel. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Parcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.12
Market Capitalization
158.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.042
Return On Assets
0.13
Return On Equity
0.77
The market value of United Parcel Service is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Parcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Parcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Parcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Parcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Parcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine United Parcel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Parcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.